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MAN Tasks CBN On Monetary Policy Failures To Curb Inflation

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) says that the Monetary Policy of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has failed to curb the rising inflation in the economy.

The Association, therefore,  urges the apex bank to think outside the conventional monetary policy framework and take pragmatic steps to quell the inflationary pressure and reposition the economy.

Reacting today, to the CBN’s Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) which raised to 18.5 percent in May 2023 from 18 percent, MAN said : ” This MPR increase is the 7th in a trend and the inflation rate continues to rise despite the increases.

Segun Ajayi-Kadir, its Director-General, said that this is a clear indication that the policy tightening is not effective in curbing the inflationary pressures and more needed to be done.
What Should Be Done?
” It is evident that the continuous and consistent increase in MPR is not yielding the desired growth in the economy.

” The Nigerian economy remains fragile and bedeviled with numerous challenges that inhibit growth. Therefore, the monetary authority needs to pay closer attention to rethink the policy mix, bearing in mind the parlous state of the economy, especially the effect of a high MPR on the manufacturing sector and the economy.

The increase in MPR from 18% to 18.5% will certainly lead to an increase in lending rates and worsen the uncompetitiveness of the manufacturing sector.

The Association has been clamoring for single-digit lending rates to allow manufacturers access needed funds to boost the performance of the sector.

This increase, like the previous ones, is evidence that the CBN is either unperturbed about the plight of the productive sector or is unable to fathom out a more creative policy mix that would reflate the sector.

We are persuaded that monetary authority is oblivious of the fact that the failure of its  tightening policy to address the inflationary pressure is because the hike in inflation is largely caused by a combination of familiar challenges, including low output which is attributed to instability of macroeconomic variables, inconsistent and lackluster fiscal policy regime, incoherent industrial policies, challenging and expensive operating environment, exploitative regulation, external shocks and poor exchange rate management.

Therefore, there is a need to address the identified root causes of inflation and refrain from intensifying policy choices that hamper the performance of the real sectors of the economy.

Interrelationship Among  Interest Rate, Inflation Rate and Exchange Rate

The movements of interest rate, inflation rate and exchange rate have direct impact on investment, employment and output of any economy.

In the conventional monetary framework that was adopted by the CBN, increase in MPR should increase interest rate and by extension attract financial investment.

However, it will also increase the cost of borrowing, crowd out more investments in the real sector and lower the output of the manufacturing sector,  ” said the Director-General.

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Global energy costs take its toll on Nigerian Manufacturers

The recent surge in global fuel prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, is compounding the challenge. While some manufacturers have temporarily absorbed the increases, Onafowakan warned that the full impact could materialise within the next three to four months.

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The Managing Director/CEO of Coleman Technical Industries Ltd, Mr George Onafowakan, said that the global higher energy costs occasioned by Iran -US Israeli war has started impacting on manufacturers in Nigeria.

Onafowokan said that findings across major industrial zones reveal a sector heavily dependent on diesel-powered generators, with factories running at high energy costs to sustain operations. Engineers and technical teams now work around the clock to monitor fuel consumption and prevent disruptions that could halt production lines.

Onafowakan stressed that power outages routinely stall factory operations, placing manufacturers under intense pressure to meet delivery timelines.

“When the lights go off, everything stops. We rely on generators, but the costs are rising, and there is constant uncertainty about meeting production targets,” he added.

The recent surge in global fuel prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, is compounding the challenge. While some manufacturers have temporarily absorbed the increases, Onafowakan warned that the full impact could materialise within the next three to four months.

“By the second quarter, businesses may be forced to make difficult decisions around production planning and pricing,” he said.

Beyond individual firms, the impact is already rippling across supply chains. Production delays are affecting dependent businesses and, ultimately, consumers, who are likely to face higher prices for goods.

Despite the growing pressure, Onafowakan said widespread layoffs or major operational restructuring may not occur immediately but cautioned that the situation could deteriorate without timely intervention.

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CBN orders banks to reverse failed ATM transactions immediately

The requirement will be implemented gradually over three years, with banks expected to meet 30 percent of the threshold in 2026, 60 percent in 2027 and full compliance by 2028.

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has directed banks to immediately reverse failed automated teller machine (ATM) transactions.

The apex bank said that the revised framework is designed to strengthen ATM service reliability, improve fraud monitoring, enhance security and ensure stronger consumer protection across Nigeria’s fast-growing digital payments ecosystem., tightening rules aimed at improving consumer protection and reliability across the country’s payment infrastructure.

Beyond refund timelines, the regulator introduced new requirements for ATM deployment nationwide.

All card issuers are required to deploy at least one ATM for every 7,500 payment cards issued.

The requirement will be implemented gradually over three years, with banks expected to meet 30 percent of the threshold in 2026, 60 percent in 2027 and full compliance by 2028.

Under new Guidelines on the Operations of Automated Teller Machines in Nigeria, the apex bank said failed “on-us” ATM transactions, where a customer uses the ATM of their own bank, must be reversed instantly. Where an instant reversal fails due to technical issues or system glitches, banks are required to complete a manual reversal within 24 hours.

For failed “not-on-us” transactions, where a customer uses another bank’s ATM, the refund timeline must not exceed 48 hours.

The guidelines also state that automated reversals for on-us transactions should occur in less than five minutes, while not-on-us transactions should be resolved in less than 15 minutes where automated systems function properly.

The CBN added that in cases where transaction failures arise from biometric mismatch or device errors, ATM operators must provide an immediate fallback to non-biometric verification where it is considered safe.

Such events must also be logged for diagnostics while the stipulated refund timelines are maintained.

The Central Bank also directed that ATMs must be located within reasonable proximity to one another across both urban and rural areas, while deployment, relocation or decommissioning of machines must receive prior written approval from the regulator.

The guidelines also set operational and service benchmarks for ATM operators.

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Nigeria Ranks 14th out of 50 Most Agricultural Land globally

The ranking highlights where the world’s largest agricultural footprints are located, spanning major producers across Asia, Africa, and the Americas.

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Nigeria has been ranked the fourteenth country among the top 50 Most Agricultural Land in the world.

Agricultural land spans more than 18 million square miles worldwide, forming the foundation of global food production.

In a data analysed by Visual Capitalist using the most recent FAO data compiled by the World Bank, China has the most agricultural land in the world, with roughly 2.0 million square miles.

The United States (1.6 million), Australia (1.4 million), Brazil (914,000) and Russia (832,826) round out the top five countries worldwide.

Each of these countries specialises in different crops.

For example, the U.S. is the world’s largest producer of corn, while Brazil is the top grower of both soybeans and sugarcane.

Meanwhile, Australia has overcome its mostly arid geography to become a major wheat and cereals grower, rivaling major producers like India (689,000) and Ukraine (160,000).

In the data, Asia and Africa account for a large share of the top 50 countries by agricultural land area.

African countries make up nearly half of the top 50 countries worldwide by square mileage of agricultural land area. They’re led by larger countries like Sudan (435,000), South Africa (372,000), and Nigeria (268,000).

The ranking highlights where the world’s largest agricultural footprints are located, spanning major producers across Asia, Africa, and the Americas.

Each of these countries specializes in different crops.

For example, the U.S. is the world’s largest producer of corn, while Brazil is the top grower of both soybeans and sugarcane.

Meanwhile, Australia has overcome its mostly arid geography to become a major wheat and cereals grower, rivaling major producers like India (689,000) and Ukraine (160,000).

Africa’s Growing Desert ProblemAfrican countries make up nearly half of the top 50 countries worldwide by square mileage of agricultural land area.

They’re led by larger countries like Sudan (435,000), South Africa (372,000), and Nigeria (268,000).

As with peers in Eurasia and the Americas, African agriculture is increasingly facing challenges from climate change.In particular, the growing desertification problem is reducing countries’ agricultural land, especially in the Sahel region, as temperatures rise and soil becomes less fertile for growing crops.

Over-farming and over-grazing are exacerbating regional soil erosion and deepening desertification.

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