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Fuel prices may fall as FEC renews naira-for-crude deal

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Oil marketers have stated that Nigerians will soon heave a sigh of relief as the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol, will drastically reduce due to the continuation of crude and refined product sales in the naira initiative by the Federal Government.

They also stated that a major player in the sector, Dangote Refinery, is anticipated to lower its petrol loading costs by the end of this week, further contributing to the reduction in fuel prices.

The National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, reassured the public of the forthcoming price drop while commenting on the Federal Executive Council’s directive regarding the naira-for-crude agreement, announced on Wednesday.

The official, however, couldn’t project the expected amount as the price at which the government will sell its products remains unclear.

This was as the National Publicity Secretary of Crude Oil Refinery-owners Association of Nigeria, Eche Idoko, emphasised the need for greater involvement of other local refiners in the initiative, stressing that broader participation would enhance the economic benefits and strengthen the impact of the deal.

On Wednesday, the Federal Executive Council, after an initial delay, directed the full implementation of the suspended Naira-for-Crude agreement with local refiners.

It said the initiative with local refineries is not a temporary measure but a “key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining.”

The Ministry of Finance disclosed this in a statement published on its official X handle titled, “Update on the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira Initiative.”

The statement was released following a meeting on Tuesday between the Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, and representatives from Dangote Refinery, a major beneficiary of the agreement, to review progress and address ongoing implementation matters.

The meeting was attended by Edun, the Chairman of the Implementation Committee; the Chairman of the Technical Sub-Committee and Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Zacch Adedeji; the Chief Financial Officer of Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, Dapo Segun; the Coordinator of NNPC Refineries; Management of NNPC Trading; representatives of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals.

Also present were representatives of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, Central Bank of Nigeria, Nigerian Ports Authority, Afreximbank, and the Secretary of the Committee, Hauwa Ibrahim.

As part of moves to reduce the strain on the US dollar and guarantee price stability of petroleum products, the FEC in July 2024 directed the national oil company to sell crude oil to Dangote Refinery in naira and not in United States’ greenback for an initial phase of six months.

The sale of crude oil and refined petroleum products in naira to local refineries commenced on October 1, 2024 to improve supply, save the country millions of dollars in petroleum products imports, and ultimately reduce pump prices.

However, in March, Dangote refinery said it had temporarily halted the sale of petroleum products in naira. The refinery said the decision to halt sales in naira was “necessary to avoid a mismatch between our sales proceeds and our crude oil purchase obligations, which are currently denominated in U.S. dollars”.

Immediately after the announcement, private depot owners effected an increase in loading cost and effectively raised pump price from around N860 to about N960 per litre, making consumers pay at least N70 more than what it used to cost them to buy a litre of the premium commodity days earlier.

But in a fresh update on Wednesday, the committee said the policy is not temporary but a long-term plan to cut Nigeria’s dependence on foreign exchange for petroleum.

It added that the initiative is not a temporary or time-bound intervention but a key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining and bolster energy security.

The statement read, “The Technical Sub-Committee on the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira initiative convened an update meeting on Tuesday to review progress and address ongoing implementation matters.

“The stakeholders reaffirmed the government’s continued commitment to the full implementation of this strategic initiative, as directed by the Federal Executive Council.“

Thus, the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira initiative is not a temporary or time-bound intervention, but a key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining, bolster energy security, and reduce reliance on foreign exchange in the domestic petroleum market.”

The policy, which mandates the transaction of crude oil and refined petroleum products in Naira, is aimed at strengthening the country’s economic sovereignty, enhancing local refining capacity, and stabilising the foreign exchange market by reducing the demand for dollars in domestic petroleum transactions.

The ministry explained that this policy is structured to foster energy security and encourage investment in domestic refining infrastructure.

While acknowledging that the transition involves complexities, the government admitted that existing challenges are being systematically addressed.

“As with any major policy shift, the committee acknowledges that implementation challenges may arise from time to time.“

However, such issues are being actively addressed through coordinated efforts among all parties. The initiative remains in effect and will continue for as long as it aligns with the public interest and supports national economic objectives,” the statement concluded.

Commenting, industry players said the resumption of Naira-denominated crude sales would reduce the strain on the US dollar and guarantee the price stability of petroleum products.

The IPMAN national publicity secretary, in his expert opinion, welcomed the recent development, noting that it reflects the President’s willingness to listen to stakeholders, which is a positive sign for the country’s energy sector. He said the deal was always expected to be implemented.

Ukadike said, “We have always mentioned that the deal was definitely going to be implemented. We don’t know the details of the new agreement.

IPMAN welcomes the latest development and it shows Mr. President has listening ears with this kind of output from the government. It shows that inputs from individuals and stakeholders matter a lot.

The policy doesn’t deter anyone who wants to import petroleum products. But the most important thing is that they should go ahead and ensure that the conclusion affects prices in the market.

“With this new decision taken by the government, I also believe earnestly that just with the complaint of marketers crying of huge losses caused by a sudden drop in price. Their plea is also yielding fruit.”

He added that with the positive development and recent fall in the price of crude, the 650,000 is poised to reduce its loading price downward before the end of the current week.

“I believe that from now till the end of the week, the Dangote refinery will come up with a new price. They can’t complain of having old stock because that is not the best practice internationally.”

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UPDATE: Malindi Court Declines to Halt Dangote Refinery Launch in Lamu

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The Malindi Environment and Land Court has declined to issue orders stopping the launch and construction of the planned KSh 2 trillion Dangote Oil Refinery in Lamu County.

In a ruling made public on Monday, 28 September 2026, the court instead directed both parties to maintain the status quo on the disputed land in the Hindi/Manda Magogoni area until the matter is heard on 14 October 2026.

The case was brought by 133 residents of Chandavai. They claim the land is their ancestral heritage, where their families have lived and farmed for generations. The residents say they do not oppose development but want their land rights recognised before the project proceeds.

The court ordered the government and other respondents to file their responses within 14 days. The application is scheduled for hearing on 14 October 2026.

The groundbreaking ceremony for the refinery is expected to go ahead as planned on Wednesday, 30 September 2026. While the court has not halted the ceremony at this stage, the status quo order means activities on the disputed site may be restricted pending the October hearing.

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Oil Rises As US Rejects Iran Proposal

Iran said it is waiting for a definitive US response to its seven-day proposal to reopen the strait and other demands, adding that it will not ease its conditions after Trump rejected Tehran’s latest plan.

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Brent crude climbed above $106 per barrel on Monday, recovering losses from the previous session after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns that the restoration of oil flows through the critical waterway could face further delays.

Trump also said Tehran had overplayed its hand and expects negotiations to resume this week.

Meanwhile, Iran said it is waiting for a definitive US response to its seven-day proposal to reopen the strait and other demands, adding that it will not ease its conditions after Trump rejected Tehran’s latest plan.

Elsewhere in the Middle East, tensions remain high as Saudi Arabia intercepted Houthi drones heading toward Riyadh, along with a missile targeting Khamis Mushait in the south.

Alerts were also issued in Abha and Jazan, where Aramco operates energy facilities.

In the US, Trump is considering a ban on diesel exports as part of efforts to address elevated fuel prices.

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NGX Debuts Invest WhatsApp Channel

The channel provides investors with an additional, convenient way to participate in public offers.

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Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) has expanded access to its NGX Invest platform with the launch of a WhatsApp subscription channel.

The channel provides investors with an additional, convenient way to participate in public offers.

Investors can begin the subscription process by sending “Invest” to NGX Invest on WhatsApp at +234 812 731 9521.

They can then follow the prompts to view eligible offers and complete the required subscription steps without downloading a separate application.

As part of the process, investors will select a stockbroker through whom their application will be processed, ensuring that brokers remain an integral part of the investment journey.

(VANGUARD)

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