Business
Economists Predict Positive Impact of Naira Appreciation on Inflation and Import Prices
Nigerian economists are optimistic that the recent appreciation of the Naira against the U.S. dollar, if sustained, could significantly reduce the cost of imported goods and curb the country’s headline inflation, which stood at 33.88% in October 2024.
Gbolade Idakolo, Chief Executive Officer of SD & D Capital Management, and Prof. Godwin Oyedokun of Lead City University, Ibadan, shared these insights on Monday.
The Naira’s exchange rate improved to N1,538.50 per dollar on December 9, 2024, from N1,740 a month earlier. This represents a gain of N201.50 in the official market, despite slight fluctuations in rates at the start of the week.
This progress follows the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) introduction of the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS), aimed at fostering transparency and reducing market distortions. The platform has reportedly curbed speculative trading in the parallel market, bolstering confidence in the Naira’s stability.
Key Perspectives on the Naira’s Strengthening
Gbolade Idakolo described EFEMS as a “game changer” for its transparency and effectiveness in unifying forex bidding platforms. He emphasized that the system had diminished speculative activities in the parallel market, leading to a stronger Naira.
He highlighted the positive implications for importers, noting that the reduction in import duty exchange rates would decrease clearing costs, which are a significant factor in determining the prices of imported goods.
“The recent drop in exchange rates for import duties is a step in the right direction. Lower clearing charges will lead to reduced prices for imported goods, benefiting consumers,” Idakolo stated.
However, he urged the CBN to maintain strict regulatory oversight of banks, Bureau De Change operators, and other market players to ensure the sustainability of the gains.
Prof. Godwin Oyedokun attributed the Naira’s appreciation to increased FX inflows, reduced dollar demand, and strategic CBN interventions. He agreed that lower exchange rates for import duties could indirectly lower prices of imported goods, provided importers pass on the savings to consumers.
However, Oyedokun cautioned that several factors could limit the impact of the Naira’s appreciation on imported goods, including:
- Global supply chain disruptions that may inflate costs.
- Domestic economic conditions, such as inflation and government policies.
- Importer behavior, as some importers might prioritize profit margins over price reductions.
To sustain the Naira’s strength, he advised the CBN to continue promoting macroeconomic stability, attracting foreign investment, and addressing structural issues like corruption, insecurity, and inadequate infrastructure.
“While the recent Naira appreciation is encouraging, it may be temporary. Strategic and consistent interventions by the CBN will be crucial to sustaining this progress,” Oyedokun concluded.
Outlook
The economists agree that the Naira’s appreciation offers an opportunity to alleviate inflationary pressures, particularly in import-dependent sectors. However, sustained gains will require consistent policy measures and vigilance from the CBN to ensure long-term economic stability.
Business
Obi Meets UK Business Leaders, Advocates Stronger Support for MSMEs
Presidential hopeful of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), Mr. Peter Obi, has reiterated the critical role of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in driving Nigeria’s economic growth and reducing unemployment.
Obi made the remarks on Tuesday following a series of meetings in London with stakeholders in British politics and the business community, including Jonathan Marland, Chairman of the Commonwealth Enterprise and Investment Council (CWEIC).
According to Obi, discussions with Lord Marland focused on prospective trade opportunities, economic advancement, and strategies for promoting small businesses across Nigeria.
Drawing comparisons with rapidly developing economies such as China, Indonesia, and Vietnam, Obi stressed that sustainable economic growth and job creation can only be achieved through deliberate support for MSMEs.
The former Anambra State governor maintained that small businesses remain the backbone of the economy and called for stronger policies aimed at boosting development and creating employment opportunities, particularly in the agriculture and manufacturing sectors.
Business
What President Tinubu Tells World Leaders At Nairobi’s Summit
“Every single dollar that leaves our treasury to pay punitive interest rates is a dollar that did not go into our steel sector, textile mills, agro-processing plants or digital industries,” the President stated.
President Bola Tinubu has called for a major shift in Africa’s economic structure, insisting that the continent must stop exporting raw materials and start building industries capable of competing globally.
Tinubu spoke on Tuesday at the Africa Forward Summit in Nairobi, Kenya, where he led Nigeria’s delegation of top government officials and private sector leaders to discussions on industrialisation, trade and economic development across Africa.
The President said Africa’s continued dependence on exporting crude oil, minerals and agricultural commodities while importing finished products was damaging local industries and slowing economic growth.
“We export raw minerals, crude oil and agricultural commodities, and we import processed goods at a premium.
This pattern is not an accident. It is the product of a global financial architecture that starves our industries of affordable capital,” Tinubu said.
He argued that African countries still face unfair borrowing conditions despite implementing difficult economic reforms aimed at stabilising their economies and attracting investment.
According to him, Nigeria’s recent reforms, including fuel subsidy removal, exchange rate unification and banking recapitalisation, were necessary steps taken to reposition the economy for long-term growth.
“Every single dollar that leaves our treasury to pay punitive interest rates is a dollar that did not go into our steel sector, textile mills, agro-processing plants or digital industries,” the President stated.
Tinubu also used the summit to promote Nigeria’s maritime and blue economy potential, pledging stronger regional cooperation through the country’s Deep Blue Project to improve security in the Gulf of Guinea.
“Secure sea lanes, predictable regulation and functional courts are the preconditions that unlock private capital.
Nigeria is ready to work with other Gulf of Guinea states through shared maritime intelligence and coordinated enforcement,” he said.
Business
France Mobilises €23bn Private Capital For Investments In Africa
Nigeria’s President Bola Tinubu participated in the gathering, which observers described as a major diplomatic and economic engagement aimed at deepening Africa-France cooperation.
•Photo: French President Emmanuel Macron attends the Africa Forward Summit 2026 at the Kenyatta International Convention Centre (KICC), in Nairobi, Kenya, May 12, 2026. REUTERS/Monicah Mwangi.
French President Emmanuel Macron said yesterday France had mobilised €23 billion ($27.01 billion) during the African Forward Summit in Nairobi for investments in Africa, to develop new partnerships in Africa after seeing its influence fade in former colonies in West Africa.
More than 30 African leaders, as well as heads of multilateral financial institutions and business executives from across Africa and France, are attending the Nairobi summit, the first France has held in an English-speaking country.
Macron said that rather than African leaders borrowing to fund infrastructure development, he supported creating a first-loss guarantee mechanism to de-risk investments on the continent and would lobby for the idea at the G7 summit next month.
The summit, co-hosted by France and Kenya, has brought together more than 30 African heads of state, global investors, financial institutions and development partners to discuss issues ranging from climate financing and energy transition to digital transformation and industrial growth.
Nigeria’s President Bola Tinubu participated in the gathering, which observers described as a major diplomatic and economic engagement aimed at deepening Africa-France cooperation.
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres noted that African countries face borrowing costs that are twice as high on average as advanced industrialized economies.”That is not a market verdict on Africa. It is a verdict on the injustices of the system,” he told the summit.
Decrying what they say are biases against them that overstate the continent’s risk, African governments have called for changes to the methodologies used by credit ratings agencies.
Major agencies including S&P Global Ratings, Moody’s and Fitch reject accusations of regional bias, saying their ratings are based on globally applied, publicly disclosed criteria.
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