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JUST IN: FG scrambles to avert Gencos shutdown over N4tn debt

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Minister of Power has pledged to address N4tn electricity debt owed by GenCos, which saw the electricity distribution companies threatening a shutdown on Monday.

Weighing in on the development, the special adviser to the Power Minister, Bolaji Tunji, said the government is aware of the development and is making concrete steps to resolve the lingering issue.

He said as part of the steps taken by the government, the Ministry of Finance will take charge of the payment very soon.

The media aide responding on Monday said, “We are not unaware of this debt arising from the FG’s commitment on subsidy. Part of the debts are legacy debts, which were on the ground before the Minister of Power assumed office.

The Minister of Power has repeatedly harped on this, knowing the implication of such debts to the operations of the various power sector stakeholders, especially the GENCOs.

The Minister of Power is very much concerned.

“The issue is being discussed with the Ministry of Finance, making a case for how the debt must be paid. We expect the Ministry of Finance to take action on this soon.

”A nationwide blackout looked imminent as the 23 power generation companies warned that they can no longer guarantee a steady electricity supply due to the worsening liquidity crisis in the electricity market, with outstanding debts now exceeding N4tn, comprising N2tn for power supplied in 2024 and N1.9tn in legacy debts.

The firms, under the aegis of the Association of Power Generation Companies, raised the alarm in a statement issued on Monday and signed by the Chairman of the Board of Trustees, Col. Sani Bello (retd.).

They said the debt burden and operational constraints currently facing the companies could force an imminent shutdown of power plants if urgent interventions were not implemented.

The companies noted that plants were being paid less than 30 per cent of monthly invoices for power supplied to the national grid.

They warned that the continued non-payment for electricity generated and consumed on the national grid was pushing the Nigerian power sector towards a total collapse.

The statement, titled ‘Over N4tn unpaid invoices threaten GenCos imminent shutdown’, lamented the lack of a clear financing plan from the Federal Government, alongside worsening fiscal and operational constraints within the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry.

They also accused the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc and other stakeholders of neglecting GenCos in the application of the NESI’s “waterfall arrangement”, which sees other service providers receive 100 per cent of their market invoices while GenCos get as little as 9 per cent to 11 per cent of what is due.

The statement read, “The Power Generation Companies (‘GenCos”) are constrained to issue this press release to draw the attention of the Federal Government and key stakeholders to the need to urgently address the issue of inadequate payment for electricity generated by them and consumed on the national grid, which is currently threatening the continued operation of their power generation plants.

Against the backdrop of the many challenges facing the power sector in Nigeria, the crises from cash liquidity are on the top burner and have reduced GenCos’ ability to continue to perform their obligations, thereby threatening to completely undermine the electricity value chain.

“In light of the severity of the issues highlighted above, the GenCos are requesting that immediate and expedited action be taken to prevent national security challenges that may result from the failure of the GenCos to sustain steady generation of electricity for Nigerians.”

Recall that in February, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, disclosed that the government owes electricity generation companies and electricity distribution companies over ₦4 trillion in electricity subsidies.

Giving a breakdown, the minister said N2 trillion is owed to GenCos as legacy debt, while another N1.9 trillion is owed to them as part of the electricity subsidy for 2024, while DisCos are owed N450 billion for the 2024 electricity subsidy.

In the statement released under the umbrella of the Association of Power Generation Companies, the GenCos expressed deep frustration over what they described as “inadequate payment for electricity generated and consumed on the national grid.

They described it as a major threat to the viability of their power plants.

The group said despite investing significantly in ramping up generation capacity since the sector’s privatisation in 2013, the absence of firm contracts, poor enforcement of power purchase agreements, and persistent non-payment of invoices have crippled their operations.

The companies also pointed out that hopes of being settled through external support mechanisms like the World Bank’s Power Sector Recovery Operation have been dashed due to other market players’ failure to meet required performance targets.

The statement reads, “GenCos, on their part as responsible investors with patriotic zeal, have made large-scale investments and have continued to demonstrate absolute commitment by ramping capacities in line with their contract over these 10 years, amid system constraints, policies & regulations that are not investor-friendly, increasing debts owed by the FGN without a clear financing plan, a lack of firm contracts and a market without securitisation but based on best endeavours, thereby hampering future planning.“

Notwithstanding this and other severe difficulties the GenCos have battled with since takeover in 2013, they have kept to the terms of their contractual agreements by ramping up capacity, which has been largely constrained systemically.“

Against the backdrop of the many challenges facing the power sector in Nigeria, the crises from cash liquidity are on the top burner and have reduced GenCos’ ability to continue to perform their obligations, thereby threatening to undermine the electricity value chain completely.

The GenCos expectations of being settled through external support, such as the World Bank PSRO, have also been dampened due to other market participants’ inability to meet their respective distribution-linked indicators, enshrined in the Power Sector Recovery Program.”

To avert a total shutdown of power generation across the country, the GenCos issued a list of urgent demands to the Federal Government: The GenCos warned that unless urgent and coordinated steps are taken to address the liquidity crunch, Nigeria’s electricity supply could collapse, with dire consequences for national security, economic growth, and public welfare.

The GenCos added, ” In light of the severity of the issues highlighted above, the GenCos are requesting that immediate and expedited action be taken to prevent national security challenges that may result from the failure of the GenCos to sustain steady generation of electricity for Nigerians.

“The 2024 collection rate has dropped below 30 per cent, and 2025 is not any better, severely affecting GenCos’ ability to meet financial obligations.

Tax and Regulatory Challenges: High corporate income tax, concession fees, royalty charges, and new FRC compliance obligations are further straining GenCos’ revenue.

GenCos are currently owed about N4 trillion (N2 trillion for 2024 and N1.9 trillion in legacy debts). No possible solutions, including cash payments, financial instruments, and debt swaps, are in sight.

“The 2025 government budget allocates only N900 billion, raising concerns about its adequacy to cover arrears and future payments.

The power generated by GenCos has continued to be consumed in full without corresponding full payment, notwithstanding the commencement of the Partial Activation of Contracts in the NESI, which took effect from July 1, 2022; the minimum remittance order; bilateral market declaration; waterfall arrangement; the risks of inflation; forex volatility with no dedicated window to cushion the effect of the forex impact; or the supplementary MYTO order, which leaves about 90 per cent of GenCos monthly invoices unmet without a bankable securitisation or financing plan.

This situation has dire consequences for the GenCos and, by extension, the entire power value chain”.

The companies that called for the implementation of payment plans to settle all outstanding GenCos invoices observed that “the flow of money within the power industry is one of the fundamental problems preventing Nigerians from enjoying continued and sustainable improvement in electricity supply”.

Meanwhile, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Niger Delta Power Holding Company of Nigeria, Engr Jennifer Adighije, says President Bola Tinubu is intervening to settle the liquidity crisis in the power sector.

Adighije stated this recently while being honoured as the Young Achiever of the Year at the 2025 Energy Times Awards for her contributions to the power sector.

Speaking with newsmen at the award presentation dinner, the managing director described the award as a humbling experience, especially for a new management team that has been in the office for less than a year.

According to her, the central issue in the power sector is about liquidity, and once there is enough cash flow, the issue will be resolved.

Business

FAAC Shares N2.26trn April Revenue To FG, States, LGAs

From the total distributable revenue of N2.257 trillion, the Federal Government received N787.351 billion, while state governments got N772.360 billion.
The local government councils received N540.152 billion, while oil-producing states shared N157.254 billion as 13 per cent derivation revenue.

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The Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) has shared a total of N2.257 trillion as federation revenue for April 2026 among the federal government, states and the 774 local government areas.

From the total distributable revenue of N2.257 trillion, the Federal Government received N787.351 billion, while state governments got N772.360 billion. The local government councils received N540.152 billion, while oil-producing states shared N157.254 billion as 13 per cent derivation revenue.

The distribution was approved at the May 2026 FAAC meeting held in Abuja, according to a communiqué issued at the end of the meeting.

The distributable revenue comprised N1.260 trillion from statutory revenue, N747.088 billion from Value Added Tax (VAT) and an augmentation of N250 billion.

The communiqué showed that total gross revenue available in April stood at N3.184 trillion. From this amount, N113.756 billion was deducted as cost of collection, while N813.839 billion was set aside for transfers, refunds and savings.

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AFC Backs Dangote Fertiliser With $600m Loan for Expansion

The loan facility to GreenView Fertilizer Corporation, the Dangote Fertliser Holding Company will part finance the expansion of its urea fertilizer production capacity in Nigeria and the development of the plant in Ethiopia.

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The Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) has signed a $600 million loan agreement to support the expansion of Dangote fertiliser production capacity.

The loan facility to GreenView Fertilizer Corporation, the Dangote Fertliser Holding Company will part finance the expansion of its urea fertilizer production capacity in Nigeria and the development of the plant in Ethiopia.

The investment forms part of Dangote Group’s broader $7 billion fertilizer expansion programme, which is expected to increase Dangote Fertilizer’s production capacity in Nigeria from three million metric tonnes per annum (MTPA) to nine MTPA, while also supporting the development of a new 3 MTPA urea fertilizer plant in Ethiopia.

The programme is expected to materially expand Africa’s fertilizer production capacity, strengthen regional food security, support agricultural productivity, and reduce the continent’s dependence on imported fertilizer.

Speaking on the transaction, president & CEO of Africa Finance Corporation, Samaila Zubairu, said, “this transaction demonstrates AFC’s capital recycling model in action.

Following the successful repayment of our earlier investment in Dangote Industries Limited, we are redeploying and doubling that capital into Dangote Group’s next phase of growth.

“By supporting the expansion of Dangote Fertiliser, AFC is backing a proven African industrial champion whose investments will strengthen food security, reduce import dependence, and create long-term economic value across the continent,” he said.

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Manufacturers Association Call for Suspension of NESREA’s Proposed Ban on Single-Use Plastics Below 80 Microns Pending Regulatory Impact Assessment

Kenya’s polybag industry, for example, remains significantly diminished years after the ban, and has left the industry sector uncompetitive.

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has expressed deep concern over the proposed implementation of the National Environmental (Plastic Waste Control) Regulations 2026 by the National Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency (NESREA).

The Regulations seek to prohibit the production and use of single-use plastic products below 80 microns in thickness pursuant to Section 26(1), impose taxes on shopping bags with wall thicknesses ranging from 30 to 50 microns under Section 26(2), and restrict a wide range of plastic products listed in the Eleventh Schedule.

Segun Ajayi-Kadir, MAN Director -General notes that the proposed measures could significantly disrupt industrial production, undermine investments in the plastics value chain, threaten thousands of direct and indirect jobs, and impose substantial socio-economic costs on manufacturers and consumers alike.

According to him, MAN, while recognizing the need to address environmental pollution and promote sustainable waste management practices, believes that the proposed regulation is premature, lacks sufficient empirical justification, and poses significant risks to Nigeria’s economy, industrial sector, employment landscape, and the livelihoods of millions of citizens.

NNPAP Plastic Circularity Roadmap

The Association notes that the Federal Government, through the National Plastic Action Partnership (NNPAP), developed a comprehensive Plastic Circularity Roadmap in 2024 in collaboration with the Federal Ministry of Environment.

The roadmap provided a strategic framework for achieving plastic waste reduction through enhanced collection systems, recycling infrastructure, Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), circular economy initiatives, public awareness campaigns, and investments in waste management.

Unfortunately, many of the critical recommendations contained in that roadmap are yet to be fully implemented.

It is therefore difficult to understand why the government is proceeding with a new prohibition regime without first evaluating the effectiveness of existing measures and implementing the agreed roadmap designed specifically to address plastic pollution in a sustainable and inclusive manner.

More importantly, there has been no publicly available assessment of the impact of previously restricted single-use plastic products in Nigeria.

There is no evidence showing the extent to which earlier bans have reduced environmental pollution, improved waste collection rates, enhanced recycling performance, or changed consumer behavior.

Public policy should be driven by evidence, measurable outcomes, and stakeholder consultation rather than assumptions.

International Evidence:

A Critical Asymmetry

International experience shows that banning thin plastic bags and other thin plastic products without adequate recycling infrastructure rarely delivers the intended environmental outcomes.

Kenya’s 2017 ban led to factory closures and job losses, yet banned bags continue to circulate through smuggling. Bangladesh’s 2002 ban remains largely unenforced after two decades, while South Africa and India experienced only temporary reductions before usage rebounded.

By contrast, countries such as Germany, South Korea, and the Netherlands have achieved high recycling rates through Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) systems without disrupting local industry or increasing the daily cost of living.

A critical lesson from these experiences is the asymmetry of the risks involved.

First, when enforcement weakens, plastic consumption returns.

Demand for affordable, lightweight packaging is structural, and thin bags inevitably re-enter the market through informal channels, imports, and cross-border trade.

The anticipated environmental gains are therefore short-lived.Second, the domestic industry does not recover as easily.

Closed factories, displaced workers, lost investments, broken supply chains, and abandoned export markets are not automatically restored when policies are relaxed.

Kenya’s polybag industry, for example, remains significantly diminished years after the ban, and has left the industry sector uncompetitive.

Third, the country becomes increasingly dependent on imports. Products once manufactured locally are sourced from abroad, consuming scarce foreign exchange while eroding domestic employment, tax revenues, and industrial capacity.

Economic Implications

The proposed ban raises serious concerns regarding its economic implications.

Nigeria’s plastic manufacturing industry remains one of the country’s largest and most significant light manufacturing sectors, supporting hundreds of manufacturing facilities, thousands of small and medium enterprises, and an extensive value chain that stretches from petrochemicals and packaging to food processing, pharmaceuticals, retail trade, agriculture, logistics, and recycling.

The implementation of an 80-micron threshold would require substantial changes in manufacturing processes, machinery configurations, and raw material consumption.

Such changes could render existing investments obsolete, increase production costs significantly, reduce competitiveness, and expose manufacturers to substantial capital losses.

The consequences extend beyond manufacturers. Increased production costs will inevitably be passed on to consumers, many of whom are already grappling with unprecedented inflationary pressures and declining purchasing power.

Small businesses, market traders, food vendors, and informal sector operators who rely heavily on affordable packaging solutions will face additional operational costs, with potentially severe implications for business sustainability and household welfare.

Furthermore, the proposed regulation may inadvertently accelerate deindustrialization by increasing dependence on imported alternatives and imported raw materials.

At a time when Nigeria is pursuing industrialization, job creation, import substitution, and export diversification, policies that undermine domestic manufacturing capacity should be carefully reconsidered.

The Association is equally concerned about the potential impact on government revenue.

Reduced industrial output, factory closures, declining investments, and job losses would inevitably affect tax revenues, customs duties, value-added tax collections, and other fiscal contributions generated by the manufacturing sector.

Environmental sustainability remains a shared objective.

However, international experience has consistently demonstrated that sustainable outcomes are achieved through effective waste management systems, recycling infrastructure, circular economy initiatives, and strong enforcement of anti-littering regulations, not through blanket prohibitions alone.Plastic pollution is fundamentally a waste management challenge.

The problem lies not in the material itself but in inadequate collection, sorting, recycling, and disposal systems.

Addressing these systemic deficiencies should remain the priority of public policy.

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, therefore, calls on NESREA and the Federal Government to:

Suspend the implementation of the proposed ban on single-use plastics below 80 microns pending a comprehensive Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA);

Conduct an independent assessment of the environmental, economic, social, fiscal, and employment implications of the proposed regulation;

Evaluate the outcomes and effectiveness of previously implemented plastic restrictions before introducing additional prohibitions;

Fully implement the recommendations contained in the 2024 NNPAP Plastic Circularity Roadmap.

Strengthen the Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) framework and accelerate investments in recycling and collection infrastructure;

Establish a broad-based stakeholder working group comprising government agencies, manufacturers, recyclers, academia, consumer groups, environmental organizations, and development partners to develop a practical and evidence-based transition strategy.

Nigeria must pursue environmental sustainability without sacrificing industrial growth, economic competitiveness, employment, and social welfare.

Effective regulation should strike a balance between environmental protection and economic development.

The Association remains committed to working collaboratively with government and all stakeholders to advance practical, science-based, and economically sustainable solutions to plastic waste management in Nigeria.

Plastic pollution should be addressed at its source through effective waste management and resource recovery systems.

The challenge lies not in the production of plastics, but in the inefficient collection, sorting, recycling, and disposal of post-consumer waste. Sustainable environmental outcomes will be achieved through stronger waste management infrastructure, expanded recycling capacity, enforcement of extended producer responsibility regulation, and greater public awareness, rather than through measures that restrict production without addressing the underlying causes of pollution.

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