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Dangote Forecasts Major Naira Appreciation to ₦1,100 per Dollar in 2026

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Africa’s richest man and Chairman of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday projected a significant strengthening of the Nigerian naira, forecasting it could rally to as low as ₦1,100 per US dollar within 2026, driven by government reforms, import restrictions, and increased local production.

Speaking at the official launch of the National Industrial Policy 2025 in Abuja, attended by Vice President Kashim Shettima and other dignitaries, Dangote expressed optimism about the currency’s trajectory amid ongoing economic measures.

“Today, the dollar is N1,340. Mr Vice-President, I can assure you that, with what I know, by blocking all this importation and so on, the naira this year will be as low as N1,100 if we are lucky,” Dangote stated, according to multiple reports from the event.

He attributed the potential appreciation to reduced foreign exchange demand from imports, as local manufacturing ramps up including contributions from his own Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which is scaling toward full capacity. Dangote praised recent policy directions for beginning to yield positive results, noting that manufacturers are increasingly optimistic.

The forecast comes as the naira has shown signs of stabilization in recent weeks, trading around ₦1,300–₦1,340 to the dollar in official and parallel markets, a marked improvement from higher levels earlier in the year.

Dangote suggested that sustained import controls and industrial growth could push the currency even further, potentially toward ₦1,000 per dollar under ideal conditions, though he cautioned that policy consistency would be key.

The remarks align with broader optimism in some quarters, including from billionaire Femi Otedola, who recently projected the naira could trade below ₦1,000/$ before year-end, largely crediting the Dangote Refinery’s role in cutting dollar outflows for fuel imports.

Dangote also highlighted challenges, emphasizing the need for reliable power supply and continued government incentives to support industrial expansion and sustain the projected currency rally.

Analysts view the prediction as bullish but contingent on factors like forex policy enforcement, oil revenues, and global commodity prices.

The naira’s performance has been volatile in recent years due to external pressures and domestic structural issues, but recent CBN interventions and refinery developments have fueled renewed confidence among investors.

The statement has sparked discussions on social media and economic forums, with many welcoming the positive outlook while others call for concrete actions to realize such gains for everyday Nigerians facing inflation and import costs.

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JUST IN : Traders Resist Takeover of Lagos International Trade Fair Complex By LASG

The ASPAMDA Market within the complex—one of the largest spare parts markets in Lagos—was among the sections affected by the shutdown.

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Commercial activities at the Lagos International Trade Fair Complex were disrupted on Wednesday as traders shut down the facility while protesting a proposed takeover of the market’s management by state and local government authorities.

The traders said they were concerned about the implications of the planned arrangement, including possible new levies and taxes that could affect their businesses.

Many traders insisted that the complex is a federal facility and called for further consultations before any changes to its management structure are implemented.

The development led to the closure of shops across the complex, leaving hundreds of traders gathered around parks and garages within the market premises as discussions continued.

The ASPAMDA Market within the complex—one of the largest spare parts markets in Lagos—was among the sections affected by the shutdown.

Eyewitnesses said traders began the protest early in the morning by locking up their shops and stalls to draw attention to their concerns over the proposed changes.

We are not against development, but we are concerned about the possible levies and taxes that may be introduced if the management structure changes,” a trader who identified himself as Emeka Onu said.

The Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Jumoke Oduwole, visited the market during the day as part of efforts to engage with traders and encourage the reopening of the complex.

Before commencing her tour of the market, the minister urged that the gates of the complex be opened to traders, stating that her visit was aimed at interacting with stakeholders and supporting the smooth conduct of business activities.

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Nigeria gears up to host Intra-African Trade Fair 2027

While Nigeria was taking over the baton from Algeria which hosted the highly successful fourth edition that recorded US$49.94 billion in trade and investment deals, the 2027, IATF2027 is targeting over US$50 billion in trade and investment deals, 100,000 visitors, 2,500 exhibitors, and participation from more than 100 countries.

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• Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, IATF Chairperson

The Nigerian government has declared its readiness to host the fifth Intra-African Trade Fair 2027 (IATF2027), scheduled to take place from November 5 – 11 in Lagos.

The host agreement signing ceremony was held in Lagos, the designated ‘host city.

Dr. Jumoke Oduwole, Federal Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, signed on behalf of Nigeria, while Dr. George Elombi, President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank)., Francisca Tatchoup Belobe, AU Commissioner for Economic Development, Trade, Tourism, Industry and Minerals, and Cynthia E. Gnassingbé-Essonam, Director of Private Sector Engagement and Communications at AfCFTA Secretariat, who represented Wamkele Mene, Secretary General, AfCFTA Secretariat, signed for the IATF.

While Nigeria was taking over the baton from Algeria which hosted the highly successful fourth edition that recorded US$49.94 billion in trade and investment deals, the 2027, IATF2027 is targeting over US$50 billion in trade and investment deals, 100,000 visitors, 2,500 exhibitors, and participation from more than 100 countries.

The Fair will be held under the theme “Global Africa, Smart Trade- From Market Access to Market Power”featuring diverse programme notably the trade exhibitions

In his opening remarks, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, Chairperson of the IATF2027 Advisory Council and Former President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, underscored the strategic importance of the Fair in shaping Africa’s economic sovereignty.

He said : “The signing of this host agreement marks a momentous milestone for Nigeria and for the continent. Bringing IATF2027 to Lagos is historically significant, as this city hosted the Lagos Plan of Action adopted in 1980, which championed Africa’s industrialisation and economic self-sufficiency. We have to work hard to keep moving towards the Africa we want. I am confident that IATF2027 will surpass all previous editions in both scope and impact as we advance our shared goal for a unified African marketplace under the AfCFTA.

Commenting on Nigeria’s expanding footprint in intra-African commerce, highlighted Nigeria’s rising contribution

Photo: L-R: Kanayo Awani, Executive Vice President, Intra-African Trade & Export Development, Afreximbank; H.E.Francisca Tatchouop Belobe Commissioner for Economic Development, Trade, Tourism, Industry and Minerals, African Union Commission; Dr. George Elombi, President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Afreximbank, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, Chair, IATF, Dr. Jumoke Oduwole, Minister for Industry, Trade, and Investment; Babajide Sanwo-Olu, Governor of Lagos State; Cynthia Gnassingbe, Director Partnerships and Private Sector AFCFTA; Lois Ekra, Deputy Chair, IATF and Joseph Ifebunandu, Head, Banking Legal Services, Afreximbank during the Intra-African Trade Fair 2027 (IATF2027) Host signing ceremony in Lagos, Nigeria, held March 9

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Bank of Industry and Sugar Council Unveil N10bn Fund for Greenfield Sugar Projects

The greenfield projects beneficiary are Illaj Sugar, Brent Foods, Crystal Sugar, Legacy Sugar, Saro Sugar, Awaa, Ganic and Confluence Sugar.

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Photo: Inside a sugar factory

The National Sugar Development Council (NSDC) and the Bank of Industry (BOI) have provided a N10 billion Sugar Project Acceleration Fund (SPAF) to support the development of greenfield sugar projects across the country and strengthen Nigeria’s sugar industry.

The greenfield projects beneficiary are Illaj Sugar, Brent Foods, Crystal Sugar, Legacy Sugar, Saro Sugar, Awaa, Ganic and Confluence Sugar.

In a statement the Executive Secretary and Chief Executive Officer of NSDC, Kamar Bakrin, said that the fund is designed to provide financing and project development support to viable greenfield projects in a bid to accelerate the emergence of a sustainable and competitive sugar industry.

Bakrin point out that access to capital alone does not guarantee sugar production, noting that many development finance institutions and investors already have significant funds available for agro-industrial projects.

““SPAF is NSDC’s structured pre-investment facility established to provide qualifying project promoters with the technical, financial and advisory support required to develop their projects to bankable standard.

It is not a grant programme but a facility designed to build a credible pipeline of investor-ready Nigerian sugar projects,” he added.

The Executive Director of Public Sector and Intervention Programmes at BOI, Hadiza Shuaib, said that the bank will serve as the fund manager for SPAF while NSDC will provide sector leadership and technical guidance.

“As Fund Manager, BOI will ensure that projects are properly structured, risks are effectively managed, and funds are deployed responsibly. We are also strong advocates for skills development, because financing alone is not sufficient to deliver sustainable outcomes,” she said.

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