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JUST IN: Manufacturers Rejects 40% Electricity Tariff Hike on Mere 4000MW

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has rejected the planned 40 percent hike in electricity tariff, which will become effective from July 1, calling on the government to shelve the increase until electricity generation , transmission and supply improves in the country.

The  Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC),  had said that the current tariff increase is based on the Service Based Tariff, SBT, benchmarked on an exchange rate of N441/$ and inflation of 16.97 per cent.

It argued that since the value of the naira to the dollar now hovers above N700 and current rate of inflation at 22.45 percent, it is necessary to increase tariff to mitigate operators’ cost of operations.
However, MAN, in its reaction, that beyond the present embattling high prices, starting July a 40 percent hike at this time is simply outrageous.
Segun Ajayi-Kadir, the Director-General of MAN, said that the expectation of the manufacturers is that the Federal Government and the NERC will ensure improvement in electricity generation, transmission and distribution that will lead to adequate and reliable electricity supply in the country, rather than increasing the tariff on the mere 4000MW to meet all revenue needs of stakeholders in the electricity supply industry.

” Government should ensure that at least 90 percent of electricity consumers are metered to ensure consumption reflective electricity bill payment, formulate electricity policies that will aid investment in energy industry to increase generation capacities that will usher in large scale production of electricity and ensure effective implementation of the recent Electricity Act (2023) that is aimed at increasing the electricity supply in the country,” he said.

The Association urges NERC to
▪︎ Eradicate outrageous bills by closing the metering gap through the liberalization of ultimate users’ access to effective mass metering;

▪︎Ensure the connection of all consumers to the electricity grid to avoid free riding and unfair charges on the few connected consumers;

▪︎ Work on efforts to increase the electricity supply base in order to distribute the total cost among a high number of consumers at a much lower unit cost;
▪︎ States and private investors should rise up to the challenge by taking advantage of the Electricity Act 2023 to eradicate the energy poverty of their people.

Likely Effects of Tariff Hike On Manufacturing industries
As a matter of fact, a further rise in electricity tariff could lead to the following:

i. Costs of production will soar: Higher electricity tariff will directly increase the cost of production for manufacturers. Already, we have energy constituting between 28-40% in the cost structure of manufacturing industries.
You can imagine the impact on manufacturing industries that are energy-intensive such as metal processing, heavy machinery, and chemicals manufacturing.

ii. Profit margins will reduce: A spike in the electricity tariff will erode the profit margin of the manufacturers and reduce their ability to expand operations and create new jobs

iii. High probability of activities paralysis: This is a definite possibility among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) who are unable to accommodate the higher price.

iv. Potential decrease in the revenue collectable by government: The hike in electricity tariff will reduce the manufacturers’ profitability and by extension the quantum of taxes and fees payable to the three tiers of Government. Manufacturers remain the largest income taxpayer in the country. Therefore, in the event of poor income generation due to high costs of production, the government purse will suffer.

v. Manufacturers will ultimately pass on the additional cost to the consumers of their products: This will increase the cost of local made products in the market and complicate the rising inflation rate in the country.

vi. Recession of manufacturing activities: An increase in electricity tariff will reduce the purchasing capability. One of the resulting effects is the fall in demand and recession of manufacturing activities over time.

vii. The sector’s competitiveness will definitely worsen: The high cost of the products will make locally produced items less competitive, when compared with imported alternatives.
This is also true of exports, as Nigeria products may find it more difficult to penetrate foreign markets. Such a move will restrict our exports earnings because it will be impossible to compete with counterparts in the global trading environment.

viii. High probability of outward investment. Some manufacturing industries may consider shifting production to other economies with lower electricity tariffs and guaranteed availability.

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Dangote expands daughters’ roles as succession plan accelerates

Mariya Dangote, who joined the board of Dangote Cement last July following her father’s retirement as chairman, will now oversee commercial strategy for the cement business.

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• Aliko Dangote and his daughters

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man, has assigned expanded leadership roles to his three daughters as part of preparations for the future of his industrial conglomerate, which he aims to grow into a $100 billion business within the next four years.

According to Business Day, an internal memo confirmed by a company spokesperson, Halima, Fatima and Mariya Dangote will take on broader responsibilities across key divisions of the Dangote Group, signalling a deliberate shift towards the next generation.

Fatima Dangote, the youngest, will assume a senior commercial role within the group’s energy division, which includes its Lagos-based oil refinery.

She will continue to oversee corporate communications and administration for the wider group.

Halima Dangote, who currently manages the family office in Dubai, will extend her oversight to its London operations while supporting the company’s international expansion efforts.

Mariya Dangote, who joined the board of Dangote Cement last July following her father’s retirement as chairman, will now oversee commercial strategy for the cement business.

She will also take on responsibility for shaping strategy across the group’s food operations in all markets.

In the memo, the company said that the appointments were intended to “empower a new generation to take on expanded responsibilities in shaping our future.

”The changes mark a clear step in Dangote’s succession planning, transferring more operational authority to his daughters while he retains overall strategic control.

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Dangote Forecasts Major Naira Appreciation to ₦1,100 per Dollar in 2026

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Africa’s richest man and Chairman of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday projected a significant strengthening of the Nigerian naira, forecasting it could rally to as low as ₦1,100 per US dollar within 2026, driven by government reforms, import restrictions, and increased local production.

Speaking at the official launch of the National Industrial Policy 2025 in Abuja, attended by Vice President Kashim Shettima and other dignitaries, Dangote expressed optimism about the currency’s trajectory amid ongoing economic measures.

“Today, the dollar is N1,340. Mr Vice-President, I can assure you that, with what I know, by blocking all this importation and so on, the naira this year will be as low as N1,100 if we are lucky,” Dangote stated, according to multiple reports from the event.

He attributed the potential appreciation to reduced foreign exchange demand from imports, as local manufacturing ramps up including contributions from his own Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which is scaling toward full capacity. Dangote praised recent policy directions for beginning to yield positive results, noting that manufacturers are increasingly optimistic.

The forecast comes as the naira has shown signs of stabilization in recent weeks, trading around ₦1,300–₦1,340 to the dollar in official and parallel markets, a marked improvement from higher levels earlier in the year.

Dangote suggested that sustained import controls and industrial growth could push the currency even further, potentially toward ₦1,000 per dollar under ideal conditions, though he cautioned that policy consistency would be key.

The remarks align with broader optimism in some quarters, including from billionaire Femi Otedola, who recently projected the naira could trade below ₦1,000/$ before year-end, largely crediting the Dangote Refinery’s role in cutting dollar outflows for fuel imports.

Dangote also highlighted challenges, emphasizing the need for reliable power supply and continued government incentives to support industrial expansion and sustain the projected currency rally.

Analysts view the prediction as bullish but contingent on factors like forex policy enforcement, oil revenues, and global commodity prices.

The naira’s performance has been volatile in recent years due to external pressures and domestic structural issues, but recent CBN interventions and refinery developments have fueled renewed confidence among investors.

The statement has sparked discussions on social media and economic forums, with many welcoming the positive outlook while others call for concrete actions to realize such gains for everyday Nigerians facing inflation and import costs.

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Annual Loss Of N8trn To Concessions, Waivers, Unacceptable – Reps

Given the breadth and complexity of the subject matter, the Committee is conducting its work in phases. The first phase of the review focuses on four priority areas with significant fiscal and economic implications:“The Export Expansion Grant (EEG); The RT200bn FX Programme; The Pioneer Status Incentive; and Selected Oil and Gas fiscal incentives.

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The House of Representatives Ad hoc Committee on the review of tax and export incentives, waivers and exemptions, has lamented the country’s annual loss of about N8 trillion to waivers and concessions.

The Chairman of the Committee, Hon. James Faleke, who bore the minds of the committee, said that available data indicated that Nigeria loses an estimated N8 trillion annually to such waivers and concessions.

“Between 2023 and 2026, the federal government projects total revenue forgone from tax incentives at ₦12.4 trillion, while the tax-to-GDP ratio remains at only 10.6%, which is among the lowest in Africa.

This is paradoxical and concerning, given the financial and fiscal challenges the nation is facing. The new tax regime has presented us with an opportunity to look inwards,” Faleke stated.

He explained that the review followed growing concerns, based on the available official data and budgetary reports that significant public revenues may have been forgone or ineffectively applied under various incentive schemes

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Faleke said this was happening at a time when the nation continued to face pressing fiscal, infrastructure, and development challenges.

“While these incentives were originally designed to stimulate investment, promote exports, support strategic sectors, and grow the economy, the House has resolved that it is both necessary and timely to; assess their actual economic impacts.

Determine whether they were administered transparently and in line with due process; and ensure that Government support delivers measurable value to the Nigerian economy.“

Given the breadth and complexity of the subject matter, the Committee is conducting its work in phases. The first phase of the review focuses on four priority areas with significant fiscal and economic implications:“The Export Expansion Grant (EEG); The RT200bn FX Programme; The Pioneer Status Incentive; and Selected Oil and Gas fiscal incentives,” he said.

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