Connect with us

Business

How the Nigerian Housing Deficit Affects Real Estate Opportunities by Dennis Isong

This article explores how the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities, why the demand keeps rising, and how smart players in the market can position themselves to benefit while solving a critical social issue.

Published

on

278 Views

IN 2019, Chinedu returned from the UK after almost a decade of studying and working.

He had saved enough to buy a house in Lagos, hoping for comfort and stability. But his excitement quickly met reality.

Despite his budget, every option he found was either overpriced, half-finished, or located in neighborhoods he couldn’t imagine living in.

He kept asking himself, “Why is it so hard to find a good home in Nigeria?”

The answer lies in a persistent national challenge: the Nigerian housing deficit. This shortfall has been estimated at more than 20 million housing units, and the gap keeps widening as the population grows.

But here’s the interesting part—while the deficit represents a crisis for many Nigerians struggling to find affordable homes, it also opens doors for investors, developers, and realtors who can see the opportunities hidden within the problem.

This article explores how the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities, why the demand keeps rising, and how smart players in the market can position themselves to benefit while solving a critical social issue.

1. Understanding the Nigerian Housing Deficit

The Nigerian housing deficit refers to the huge gap between the number of houses needed and the number of houses available.

With a population of over 200 million people, and with more people migrating into urban centers like Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt every year, the demand for housing keeps climbing.

Unfortunately, supply struggles to keep pace.Several factors contribute to this gap.

Land acquisition challenges, high construction costs, bureaucratic bottlenecks in getting approvals, and limited access to mortgage financing all combine to slow down the rate of housing delivery.

For the average Nigerian, renting remains the only feasible option, but even rental prices continue to rise because demand far exceeds supply.

For real estate investors and developers, this gap is both a problem and an opportunity.

The reality is simple: people will always need homes, and in Nigeria, the number of people looking for housing far outstrips what’s available.

This imbalance creates a constant market for new developments, whether in luxury, middle-income, or affordable housing.

2. Why the Housing Deficit Creates Investment

OpeningsTo understand how the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities, think of it like a river that never dries up.

Every year, hundreds of thousands of Nigerians—both at home and in the diaspora—look for houses to buy or rent.

This never-ending demand ensures that any serious developer or investor who delivers value has a ready market.Take Lagos as an example.

The city attracts thousands of people from other states daily because of its economic opportunities.

But with limited land and skyrocketing demand, property values keep appreciating. For investors, this means capital growth is almost guaranteed in prime areas.

Even in developing parts of Lagos like Ibeju-Lekki, Ajah, and Epe, the housing deficit ensures that today’s affordable plots can quickly become tomorrow’s goldmine.

Furthermore, the deficit pushes developers to innovate.

Instead of building only luxury estates, some are now experimenting with more compact, affordable units or rent-to-own schemes. Investors who align with this trend not only make profits but also help close the housing gap.

3. The Diaspora Angle: A Market Fueled by Trust

Another way the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities is through the growing interest of Nigerians in the diaspora.

Many, like Chinedu, want to own property back home—either for family, future retirement, or as an investment.

The problem they face is trust. Stories of fraud and disappointment have made many cautious.

Here lies a clear opportunity for credible realtors and developers.

Nigerians abroad are willing to pay for transparency, quality, and security. If they can be assured that their investment is safe, they become loyal clients.

The deficit means demand from this group is unlikely to slow down soon. In fact, as the population grows, the diaspora will continue to play a huge role in bridging the housing gap through remittances and property investments.

For real estate professionals, building a reputation for honesty and delivering on promises is not just good ethics—it’s good business.

The housing deficit guarantees a steady stream of prospects, but trust is the bridge that converts them into long-term investors.

Developers and investors who can crack the affordability puzzle—through innovative financing, use of local building materials, or flexible payment plans—stand to win big.

4. Balancing Profit and Affordability

One of the criticisms developers often face is that most new housing projects are priced beyond the reach of ordinary Nigerians.

Luxury estates keep springing up, while the vast majority of people who need homes can’t afford them.

This reality is part of what sustains the housing deficit.However, this challenge also signals untapped opportunity.

Developers and investors who can crack the affordability puzzle—through innovative financing, use of local building materials, or flexible payment plans—stand to win big.

Affordable housing doesn’t mean low returns; in fact, because the demand is so large, the volume of buyers and renters can make up for slimmer margins.

The Nigerian housing deficit has made it clear that the real winners in the market are not those who chase quick profits alone, but those who build with a long-term view. Balancing affordability with profitability ensures sustainability for both investors and society.

5. The Future of Real Estate in a Deficit-Driven Market

Looking ahead, how the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities will become even more pronounced.

Nigeria’s population is projected to hit 400 million by 2050, with urban centers expanding at breakneck speed. If the housing gap isn’t addressed, the deficit could double, creating both social strain and massive demand.

For investors and realtors, this means that real estate will remain a resilient and rewarding sector for decades to come.

Those who position themselves today—whether by buying land in growth corridors, developing estates, or offering diaspora-friendly services—will reap the benefits tomorrow.

Chinedu, from the opening story, eventually found his footing. After struggling to find a ready-made home, he decided to buy land in a developing part of Lagos and build gradually.

Today, not only does he have his dream home, but the value of his land has tripled.

His story mirrors what countless Nigerians are discovering: the housing deficit may be a burden, but within it lies immense opportunity for those who can see ahead.

Conclusion

The Nigerian housing deficit is not just a number—it is a daily reality for millions of Nigerians searching for homes.

But as overwhelming as the challenge is, it continues to shape the real estate landscape in powerful ways.

It fuels demand, drives innovation, attracts diaspora investment, and guarantees that housing will remain one of the most essential markets in the country.

For anyone asking, “How the Nigerian housing deficit affects real estate opportunities,” the answer is simple: it creates them.

Every problem holds within it the seed of a solution, and in Nigeria’s case, the housing crisis is also a call to action.

For real estate investors, developers, and Nigerians abroad, the opportunities are abundant—but only for those willing to engage with the market realistically, ethically, and with a vision for the future.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

BREAKING: First Abu Dhabi Bank to establish branch in Nigeria

First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) is the UAE’s largest bank, formed in 2017 by the merger of First Gulf Bank and National Bank of Abu Dhabi.

Published

on

By

13 Views

•Photo: Nigeria’s Minister of State for Finance, Dr Doris Uzoka- Anite with the executives of First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB)

First Abu Dhabi Bank is prepared to establish a branch in Nigeria.

This was the outcome of a strategic discussion  between Nigeria’s Minister of State for Finance, Dr Doris Uzoka- Anite with the executives of First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) on enhanced financial collaboration ahead of the Bank’s plans to establish a branch in Nigeria. 

“This engagement reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s reforms and our commitment to attracting credible global capital to support growth and development,” said the minister on her X.

Uzoka- Anite emphasised that the engagement focused on opportunities for strengthened financial intermediation, increased capital flows, and expanded banking services to support Nigeria’s economic reforms and development priorities.

Uzoka-Anite reaffirmed Nigeria’s commitment to creating an enabling environment for global investors, noting that the planned entry of FAB reflects growing international confidence in Nigeria’s reforms and improving investment climate.

A background check on the Bank showed that First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) is the UAE’s largest bank, formed in 2017 by the merger of First Gulf Bank and National Bank of Abu Dhabi.

Headquartered in Abu Dhabi, it offers corporate, investment, and personal banking services across 20+ markets. FAB is recognized as one of the world’s safest institutions.

Aiming to be the best Arab bank for the Arab world, it recently reported a 22% increase in net profit for Q4 2024, driven by strong business volumes.

Continue Reading

Business

Nigeria’s economy may be back from the brink — The Economist

Improvements in macroeconomic stability are restoring investor confidence.

Published

on

By

58 Views

President Bola Tinubu

A spate of painful reforms is beginning to show results.

When nigeria returned to civilian rule in 1999, Olusegun Obasanjo, the elected president, set out to clean up the economy after years of mismanagement by military governments.

Initially dismissed by critics, by the end of his second term Mr Obasanjo’s liberal policies had tamed inflation, spurred investment and raised annual gdp growth to around 7 percent.

It didn’t last. Over the past decade gdp per person has fallen.

Yet evidence is now mounting that another stretch of “golden years”, as one analyst calls the period following Mr Obasanjo’s liberalisation, may be on the cards.

In the past two and a half years Bola Tinubu, who in Mr Obasanjo’s day was the governor of Lagos and was elected president in 2023, has been enacting his own set of structural reforms.

As he gears up to run for a second term in 2027, they may be starting to pay off.

It is difficult to overstate the mess Mr Tinubu inherited.

When he took office in 2023, the country’s central bank had $7 billion (equivalent to 1.4% of gdp at the time) in obligations it could not meet, prompting international investors to flee en masse.

The bank’s credibility had been dented by a recklessly loose monetary policy, its mismanagement of dwindling foreign-exchange reserves and efforts to maintain an unsustainable tiered exchange-rate system.

Poverty has risen. But it looks as though Mr Tinubu’s bitter medicine is helping.

In 2022 alone the cash-strapped government spent some $10 billion, equivalent to 2.2% of gdp, on a ruinous fuel subsidy.

To fix things, Mr Tinubu’s government got on with a package of drastic structural reforms. It abolished the fuel subsidy and abandoned that multi-tiered system of dollar-pegged exchange rates, largely allowing the naira to float.

The Central Bank aggressively tightened monetary policy to curb the resulting bout of inflation.

The government also moved to improve security in the Niger Delta and offered a range of tax incentives to investors to boost dwindling oil production.

Nearly three years on, Nigeria’s 230 million people, especially the poor and the middle class, are still reeling from increases in fuel and food prices.

Poverty has risen. But it looks as though Mr Tinubu’s bitter medicine is helping.

The annual inflation rate, which hit a nearly 30-year high of 34.8% in December 2024, fell to 15.2% in December 2025.

Growth is returning.

The IMF expects the economy to expand by 4.4% in 2026.

Following two steep devaluations in 2023, the naira has stabilised (see chart).

The Central Bank’s foreign-exchange reserves have risen to $46 billion, their highest level in seven years.

Improvements in macroeconomic stability are restoring investor confidence.

On January 22nd Shell, a British company, said it hopes in 2027 to finalise plans, with partners, to develop a $20 billion offshore oilfield that has been sitting untapped for over 20 years.

Exxon Mobil, an American firm, has committed $1.5 billion to deep water development until 2027.

Local business leaders are more upbeat, too.

Oil-and-gas production is rising, much of it driven by local firms plugging leaks and improving output in onshore projects in the Niger Delta, which has become safer thanks to Mr Tinubu’s focus on security there.

All this should give the government some fiscal breathing room, particularly as the cheaper naira begins to raise the competitiveness of Nigeria’s non-oil exports such as cocoa and cashew nuts.

Recent reforms to taxation and tax collection, Mr Tinubu’s latest project, should help improve revenues further in the coming years.

Falling inflation should eventually begin to ease the cost-of-living pain.

However, even optimists have plenty of reasons to be cautious.

Savings from the fuel subsidy have largely been spent on servicing the public debt, which is still rising as the government continues to borrow against future sales of oil to fund its deficit.

Currently, some 60% of revenues are consumed by debt service.

On January 20th Nigeria’s finance minister said the government hoped to borrow less this year, but current budget projections suggest that is not realistic.

“The government is broke.

There’s nothing to invest in the future, that’s the truth,” says Esili Eigbe of Escap, a Nigerian consultancy.

Unless the government cuts civil-service salaries, another big chunk of spending, or is able to restructure loans to make them cheaper, the extra revenue from recent tax reforms looks unlikely to be available for improving infrastructure or to pay for public health care and education.

“They’ve brought the deficit down, but they don’t seem to show any greater ability to get capital projects out of the door,“ says David Cowan, an economist at Citi, an American bank.

All this means that it will take a long time for ordinary Nigerians, who until now have mostly borne the pain of Mr Tinubu’s reforms, to feel any benefit.

Buying food has been a particular struggle, not just for the 42% of Nigerians who live on less than $3 a day, the World Bank’s definition of extreme poverty, but also for the urban middle class.

The price of a kilo of rice has nearly quadrupled since May 2023, while wages have barely budged.

Even though inflation is now falling, many still struggle to afford enough to eat.

Mr Obasanjo’s reforms in the early 2000s aimed to increase economic dynamism and improve people’s lives by attracting fresh capital investment into newly privatised sectors.

By the end of his second term in 2007, domestic companies were worth $85 billion, up from $3 billion in 1999.

Mr Tinubu, by contrast, has so far focused on restoring stability and reviving the country’s ailing oil-and-gas sector. To bring about more golden years for Nigerians, he needs to go beyond that. ■

Credit: The Economist

Continue Reading

Business

FOBTOB seeks fresh dialogue over ban on alcohol in sachets and PET bottles

Therefore, while NAFDAC states that factories will not be shut down, the policy will result in economic shutdown, particularly for indigenous manufacturers and informal-sector participants.

Published

on

By

53 Views

Food, Beverages and Tobacco Senior Staff Association (FOBTOB) said on Thursday that the NAFDAC’s blanket ban on satchets alcohol is economically destructive.

FOBTOB, there call out for a fresh dialogue comprising the stakeholders in the industry, the National Assembly, the Federal Ministry of Health, NAFDAC and Civil society organizations to engage in open, transparent, and evidence-based dialogue aimed at crafting policies that protect public health without destroying livelihoods or creating regulatory contradictions.

Reacting to a press release issued by the Director-General of the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) today regarding the enforcement of a ban on alcoholic beverages packaged in sachets and small containers below 200ml, FOBTOB President, Jimoh Oyibo, disclosed that while the association acknowledge and fully supports the shared objective of protecting children, adolescents, and vulnerable populations from the harmful use of alcohol

“We must express deep concern that the approach adopted by NAFDAC is disproportionate, economically disruptive, and inconsistent with broader regulatory and public health realities in Nigeria,” he said.

PUBLIC HEALTH IS IMPORTANT — BUT POLICY MUST BE BALANCED AND EVIDENCE-BASED

No reasonable stakeholder disputes that excessive alcohol consumption is harmful.

However, public health challenges require holistic, data-driven, and enforceable solutions, not blanket prohibitions that fail to address root causes.

Alcohol abuse among minors is primarily a challenge of effective enforcement, parental responsibility, public education, and social regulation, rather than one of packaging format.

The size of an alcohol container does not in itself, confer safety, nor does increasing pack sizes prevent access by minors.

The global public health evidence consistently demonstrates that behavioural regulation, age-restriction enforcement, education-driven interventions, and appropriate sanctions are more effective in addressing underage alcohol consumption than blanket product bans.

NAFDAC’S CLAIM ON UNINTERRUPTED COMPANY OPERATIONS – CONTRADICTED BY EVIDENCE

Notwithstanding representations made by affected stakeholders, access to these depots has not been restored by NAFDAC, and this is affecting normal business operations negatively.

As a labour union, the livelihoods of our members will be adversely affected by the closure of manufacturers’ depots.

We have compiled records of these enforcement actions for reference and ongoing engagement, which are presented alongside this article.

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES CANNOT BE IGNORED

For many indigenous distillers, blenders, and distributors, sachet and sub-200ml packaging does not constitute a marginal segment of their operations but rather is the foundation of the core business model.

These packaging formats were intentionally developed to serve low-income consumers, informal retail channels, and rural markets where considerations such as affordability, portability, and unit pricing determine demand.

Also, the claim that the policy only affects “two packages” does not fully convey the magnitude of the impact.

In operational terms:

Production lines are configured specifically for sachet and small-format bottling.

Distribution networks are optimized for high-volume, low-unit sales

Retail reach is largely dependent on maintaining affordability at the lowest price points.

For many small and medium-scale operators, this transition will not be financially attainable.

Therefore, while NAFDAC states that factories will not be shut down, the policy will result in economic shutdown, particularly for indigenous manufacturers and informal-sector participants.

The ban on sachets and small containers below 200ml also risks tilting the market in favour of larger, better-capitalized multinational players who can absorb retooling costs and pivot to premium pack sizes.

Smaller local producers, who rely overwhelmingly on sachet sales, are disproportionately harmed, raising concerns about market concentration and unfair competitive outcomes.

Public health and economic survival are not mutually exclusive.

Nigeria deserves policies that are balanced, humane, enforceable, and fair.

The solution lies in moderation, education, and enforcement, not in policies that punish many while failing to address the real drivers of abuse.

SIGNED BYJIMOH OYIBONATIONAL PRESIDENT FOOD, BEVERAGE AND TOBACCO SENIOR STAFF ASSOCIATION (FOBTOB

Continue Reading

Trending