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Economists Predict Positive Impact of Naira Appreciation on Inflation and Import Prices

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Nigerian economists are optimistic that the recent appreciation of the Naira against the U.S. dollar, if sustained, could significantly reduce the cost of imported goods and curb the country’s headline inflation, which stood at 33.88% in October 2024.

Gbolade Idakolo, Chief Executive Officer of SD & D Capital Management, and Prof. Godwin Oyedokun of Lead City University, Ibadan, shared these insights on Monday.

The Naira’s exchange rate improved to N1,538.50 per dollar on December 9, 2024, from N1,740 a month earlier. This represents a gain of N201.50 in the official market, despite slight fluctuations in rates at the start of the week.

This progress follows the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) introduction of the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS), aimed at fostering transparency and reducing market distortions. The platform has reportedly curbed speculative trading in the parallel market, bolstering confidence in the Naira’s stability.

Key Perspectives on the Naira’s Strengthening

Gbolade Idakolo described EFEMS as a “game changer” for its transparency and effectiveness in unifying forex bidding platforms. He emphasized that the system had diminished speculative activities in the parallel market, leading to a stronger Naira.

He highlighted the positive implications for importers, noting that the reduction in import duty exchange rates would decrease clearing costs, which are a significant factor in determining the prices of imported goods.

“The recent drop in exchange rates for import duties is a step in the right direction. Lower clearing charges will lead to reduced prices for imported goods, benefiting consumers,” Idakolo stated.

However, he urged the CBN to maintain strict regulatory oversight of banks, Bureau De Change operators, and other market players to ensure the sustainability of the gains.

Prof. Godwin Oyedokun attributed the Naira’s appreciation to increased FX inflows, reduced dollar demand, and strategic CBN interventions. He agreed that lower exchange rates for import duties could indirectly lower prices of imported goods, provided importers pass on the savings to consumers.

However, Oyedokun cautioned that several factors could limit the impact of the Naira’s appreciation on imported goods, including:

  • Global supply chain disruptions that may inflate costs.
  • Domestic economic conditions, such as inflation and government policies.
  • Importer behavior, as some importers might prioritize profit margins over price reductions.

To sustain the Naira’s strength, he advised the CBN to continue promoting macroeconomic stability, attracting foreign investment, and addressing structural issues like corruption, insecurity, and inadequate infrastructure.

“While the recent Naira appreciation is encouraging, it may be temporary. Strategic and consistent interventions by the CBN will be crucial to sustaining this progress,” Oyedokun concluded.

Outlook

The economists agree that the Naira’s appreciation offers an opportunity to alleviate inflationary pressures, particularly in import-dependent sectors. However, sustained gains will require consistent policy measures and vigilance from the CBN to ensure long-term economic stability.

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Business

Heineken boss resigns after ‘turbulent’ six-year stint

“I believe this is the right moment,” said Van den Brink, 52, after almost six years at the helm “during which he has guided the company through turbulent economic and political times”.

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• Dolf Van den Brink

Dolf van den Brink said on Monday he would step down on May 31 as the chief executive of Dutch brewer Heineken.

Van den Brink unexpectedly announced his resignation, as the company grapples with lower beer sales and job cuts in a difficult economic environment.

“I believe this is the right moment,” said Van den Brink, 52, after almost six years at the helm “during which he has guided the company through turbulent economic and political times”.

The change of leader comes at a tricky moment for Heineken, the world’s second-largest brewer after AB InBev.

Its most recent quarterly results, published in October, showed a steep decline in the amount of beer sold, with Europe and the United States driving the drop.

Van den Brink acknowledged at the time that the firm was dealing with a “challenging environment, resulting in a mixed performance”.

Heineken posted total net sales of 7.3 billion euros ($8.5 billion) for the third quarter, down from 7.6 billion in the second quarter.

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Global oil reserves: Nigeria down to 11th position in latest rankings

According to report, Nigerian oil reserves haven’t grown significantly for years, failing to replace daily extraction.

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Stagnation in Nigeria’s crude oil reserve for decades has placed the country to 11th position on the global rankings of oil producing countries.

The United States occupy the 10th position with 45 billion barrels of proven oil reserve.

Crude oil reserve data computed from OPEC’s Annual Statistical Bulletin 2025, reveals that Nigeria sits as the 11th country with 37.28 billion barrels proven oil reserve in the world.

Likewise, official figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) places it at 37.28 billion barrels as of January 2025.

In a report published recently by Visual Capitalist.com, Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves, accounting for an estimated 303 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, the largest of any country.

These reserves account for roughly 17% of the global total, well ahead of Saudi Arabia 267 billion barrels ; Iran 209 billion barrels, Canada 163 billion barrels , and Iraq 113 billion barrels.

Chart credit: Visual capitalist.com

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According to report, Nigerian oil reserves haven’t grown significantly for years, failing to replace daily extraction.

Oil theft, vandalism, and insecurity hinder efforts to reach full production potential.

Nevertheless, the NUPRC aims to boost reserves and production, with plans to attract investment for new exploration and development.

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Business

Wema Bank Plc launches major upgrade to its flagship digital banking platform, ALAT by Wema.

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Wema Bank Plc has officially launched a major upgrade to its flagship digital banking platform, ALAT by Wema, introducing cutting-edge features including voice banking, Tap and Pay contactless payments, and predictive uptime capabilities.

Tagged “ALAT: The Evolution”, the revamped app (also referred to as ALAT 2.0) marks a significant step forward in Nigeria’s digital banking landscape. The upgrade integrates an AI-powered voice assistant called SAW (Smart ALAT by Wema), enabling users to perform banking tasks using natural voice commands—such as checking balances, transferring funds, or reviewing transactions—similar to popular assistants like Siri or Alexa.

This hands-free functionality aims to reduce friction, boost accessibility, and deliver a more intuitive experience for everyday users.

The update also rolls out Tap and Pay, a secure and convenient contactless transaction feature that allows quick payments by tapping compatible devices together. Complementing these innovations is predictive uptime, a transparency tool that forecasts service availability, helping build greater customer confidence in the platform’s reliability.

Announcing the launch, Mr. Moruf Oseni, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Wema Bank, described the upgrade as more than a technical enhancement.

“ALAT: The Evolution is a clear demonstration of our commitment to redefining digital banking in Africa,” he said. “By understanding the future of banking and listening closely to our customers, we have upgraded ALAT by Wema to a digital banking platform that is smart, intelligent, and dependable.”

Mr. Olusegun Adeniyi, Chief Digital Officer at Wema Bank, emphasized the user-focused design: “With ALAT: The Evolution, we set out to enhance not just functionality but the overall banking experience. By integrating voice banking, contactless payments, and predictive reliability, we are delivering a platform that is built on powerful technology and responds intelligently to customer needs.

“The upgraded app is now available for download or update on the Google Play Store and Apple App Store. Existing users can simply update their app and log in with their current credentials—all account information and transaction history remain intact—while new customers can onboard seamlessly.

Since its debut in 2017 as Africa’s first fully digital bank, ALAT has transformed financial services for millions of Nigerians. This latest evolution reinforces Wema Bank’s position as a pioneer in innovative, customer-centric digital banking amid growing competition in the sector.

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