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BREAKING: Interest Rate, Increase to 15-Year High – Bank Of England

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The Bank of England on Thursday lifted its key interest rate to the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, noting inflation remained stubbornly high but that the economy would now avoid recession this year.

The BoE hiked the rate by a quarter-point to 4.5 percent — its 12th increase in a row with UK annual inflation stuck above 10 percent, fuelling a cost-of-living crisis across Britain.

Global policymakers are battling elevated inflation caused largely by runaway energy bills following last year’s invasion of Ukraine by major oil and gas producer Russia.

Following a regular policy meeting, the BoE warned of “considerable uncertainties” on when UK inflation would return to its two-percent target, as soaring food prices offset sharp drops to energy costs.

At the same time, the central bank made a record upgrade to its British GDP forecast, adding there would be only a small impact from recent turmoil in the commercial banking sector.

“Six months ago, we were expecting a shallow but long recession,” BoE governor Andrew Bailey told a press conference.

“Since then, energy prices have fallen substantially and economic activity is holding up much better than expected.”

– ‘Modest but positive’ growth –

Bailey said the UK would this year experience “modest but positive economic growth and a much smaller increase in unemployment.

“We think inflation will fall quite sharply over the coming months,” he added.

Official data Friday is expected to show the UK economy grew during the first quarter of this year after narrowly avoiding recession in the last three months of 2022.

The rate decision comes one week after UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservative government suffered a drubbing in local elections, as voters gave their verdict over rampant living costs despite government efforts to partly subsidise energy bills.

The nation has been plagued by strikes as high inflation erodes the value of wages. Train staff will walk out again on Friday following months of industrial action across the private and public sectors.

The latest BoE hike is set to deepen the crunch in living standards as retail banks pass on the increase, resulting in higher repayments on loans, including mortgages.

At the same time, those who can afford to save will benefit for increased fixed returns on investments.

“Although it is good news that the Bank of England is no longer forecasting recession, today’s interest rate rise will obviously be very disappointing for families with mortgages,” said British finance minister Jeremy Hunt.

– Highest inflation in G7 –

Thursday’s news took British borrowing costs to a level last seen in October 2008, before rates were slashed during the global financial crisis.

The BoE has ramped up borrowing costs from a record-low of 0.1 percent in December 2021.

Its latest hike came one week after the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve implemented quarter-point rate increases as inflationary pressures ease only slightly in the eurozone and the United States.

UK annual inflation stood at 10.1 percent in March, the highest level in the Group of Seven richest nations.

Sunak and the BoE blame the high level in part on rises to pay and have urged employers to show restraint.

BoE chief economist Huw Pill recently stated that Britons need “to accept that they’re worse off and stop trying to maintain their real spending power by bidding up prices via higher wages”.

AFP

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Business

Elumelu shares inspiring story of his beginning as a “young, hungry sales rep”

Elumelu urged people, particularly those building their careers and businesses, to remain consistent and committed to learning. “Keep showing up. Keep learning. Keep executing,” he said.

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Businessman and philanthropist Tony Elumelu has shared a picture of his old business card from his early days as a photocopier salesman, recalling the lessons that shaped his approach to business and made him resilient.

Elumelu shared the photograph on his X handle on Thursday, saying he stumbled upon the card and was reminded of his days as a “young, hungry sales rep.”

The old card identifies Elumelu as a Sales Executive with Precissa Sales Limited, with the company’s address listed as Bode Thomas Street, Surulere, Lagos.

Reflecting on the period, Elumelu said the experience taught him “the fundamentals of resilience, negotiation, and grit,” lessons he said have continued to influence how he approaches business and engages with customers.

He wrote: “It’s also a reminder that who you become tomorrow is often shaped by the foundation you lay today; the discipline, hard work, and consistency you put in when no one is watching.”

Elumelu urged people, particularly those building their careers and businesses, to remain consistent and committed to learning. “Keep showing up. Keep learning. Keep executing,” he said.

He ended the post with a light-hearted reference to the details on the old card, saying: “As for the phone number and address on the card? Long gone 😂”

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Brent Holds Above $101bp

Iran said it was ready for a more intense conflict, vowing to resist the US naval blockade and warning that it would intensify its attacks if American forces continued strikes on Iranian territory.

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Brent crude traded around $101 per barrel on Thursday, hovering at its highest level since May as the intensifying conflict between the US and Iran raised concerns over further disruptions to energy supplies from the Middle East.

Iran said it was ready for a more intense conflict, vowing to resist the US naval blockade and warning that it would intensify its attacks if American forces continued strikes on Iranian territory.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump predicted that the conflict would not end until after the November midterm elections and said significant relief in gasoline prices was unlikely before then, signaling limited prospects for near-term de-escalation. 

Hostilities intensified over the past week following roughly a month of relative calm, with both sides stepping up attacks.

The conflict broadened after Iran-backed Houthi militants attacked several energy facilities in Saudi Arabia, prompting a temporary suspension of some operations.

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Takeaways From CIBN 19th Annual Banking and Finance Conference

The large capital raised by banks during the recapitalisation exercise indicated the depth of capital available locally.

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By Ochefa


The Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) held its 19th Annual Banking and Finance Conference in Abuja, yesterday.


Themed , “Building a Resilient Economy in an Era of Disruptions: Strategic Imperatives for the Banking and Financial Services Industry,” the conference brought together stakeholders from the banking industry, the World Bank, government officials including economists , business leaders and policy makers.

” The ultimate test of Nigeria’s economic reforms should be their impact on households, businesses and the daily lives of ordinary Nigerians.”


Here are the key points from the discussions:


Dr. Dele Alabi, President and Chairman of Council of CIBN:
•The ultimate test of Nigeria’s economic reforms should be their impact on households, businesses and the daily lives of ordinary Nigerians. Nigeria’s improving macroeconomic indicators will amount to little if they failed to translate into lower living costs, more jobs, higher incomes and better living standards for citizens.
“Macroeconomic progress must, therefore, be felt at the micro level in households, small businesses and the daily lives of ordinary Nigerians. Our task is to build systems that learn, adapt and emerge stronger.”


Lead Private Sector Development Specialist at the World Bank’s Nigeria Office, Ms Bertine Kamphuis:
Credit to Nigeria’s private sector remain inadequate. She urged banks to channel more financing to sectors with the greatest potential to create jobs, particularly agriculture, manufacturing and MSMEs. According to her, with between three and four million young Nigerians entering the labour market every year, expanding access to productive credit has become imperative.”


Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele:
“Strong bank profits alone are no longer sufficient; financial institutions must contribute more directly to economic growth and the welfare of Nigerians.
“For years, we have measured financial institutions by balance-sheet growth, profitability and shareholder returns. These remain important. But we must increasingly ask: what is the financial system doing for the real economy?
A resilient banking system cannot exist indefinitely where businesses cannot obtain affordable credit, manufacturers struggle to finance expansion, and millions of productive MSMEs remain outside the formal financial system.”


Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, Mr. Olayemi Cardoso:
” The large capital raised by banks during the recapitalisation exercise indicated the depth of capital available locally.
Represented by the Deputy Governor in charge of Policy, Mr. Philip Ikeazor, the CBN governor  challenged operators in the industry to take advantage of the large capital now available to them to fund the real sectors of the economy, with a view to achieving the rapid growth that would impact on better living standards of Nigerians.
He urged state governments to collaborate with the CBN and the fiscal authorities at the federal level to effectively tame inflation, pledging that with the cooperation of all stakeholders, a single digit inflation was achievable.”

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