Business
Hardship: Nigeria’s inflation drops signal economic recovery – CPPE, Economists
Nigerian economists and the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise have explained that the two consecutive drops in Nigeria’s inflation rate signal that the country’s economy is recovering from hardship
The Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Muda Yusuf, the CEO of SD & D Capital Management, Gbolade Idakolo, and a Don at Lead City University in Ibadan, Prof. Godwin Oyedokun, disclosed this on Monday.
They spoke in reaction to Nigeria’s February 2025 inflation drop.
On Monday, Nigeria’s inflation lowered for the second time to 23.18 percent in February 2025 from 24.48 percent recorded in the previous month, according to the National Bureau of Statistics’ latest Consumer Price Index.
The data showed that food inflation also declined in February to 23.51 percent from 26.08 percent in January.
Nigeria’s inflation fell massively to 24.48 percent in January after CPI rebasing.
However, while the data from NBS showed the inflation rate is lowering, the cost of living in Nigeria has remained elevated.
Nigeria’s deceleration in inflation shows macro stability — CPPE
The deceleration in the inflation rate can be attributed to moderation in macro stability, according to CPPE.
Yusuf stressed that the drop in exchange rate volatility and drop in premium motor spirit prices are contributing factors to the decline in Nigeria’s inflation rate.
He, however, emphasised that Nigeria’s inflation remains high, noting that the government needs to come up with policies to bring down the prices of basic items, such as staple foods and pharmaceuticals.
“The further deceleration in inflation in February can be attributed to two factors. First is the base effect.
When you relate the 2025 figure to 2024, it is expected to see further narrowing because the inflation rate is mainly year on year.
This trend is likely to continue for the larger part of 2025. The second part is due to moderation in macro stability. We are beginning to drop in the volatility in the exchange rate in the last few months.
“This is a key factor because the exchange rate is a major driver of inflation. Also, slight reduction in energy prices such as PMS.“
However, the inflation rate of 23.18 percent is still high. This means that there is a lot of work to be done to ease inflationary pressures on citizens.
The government should take some urgent steps to bring down the price of basic products. Foods, pharmaceutical products, cooking gas, and staple foods (bread, noodles, rice)- should be top on the agenda of government.
“Another good news is that there is an increase in food production on account of improved security,”.
Pressures driving higher prices are easing — Prof Oyedokun
Oyedotun said the latest inflation drop suggests that the factor driving higher prices may be stabilising, which could provide relief to consumers and businesses.
According to him, the second consecutive drop in headline and food inflation, with figures at 23.18% and 23.51%, respectively, could be viewed as a positive indicator of an easing inflationary trend.
He said this suggests that the pressure driving prices higher may be stabilising, which could provide some relief to consumers and businesses.
He noted further that improved supply chain conditions, seasonal factors that affect food production and prices, government interventions, and monetary policies are factors contributing to the inflation rate decline.
Regarding the February inflation drop outside the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rebasing, several factors could contribute.
“These might include improved supply chain conditions, seasonal factors that affect food production and prices, or government interventions that stabilise markets.“
Additionally, any recent policy measures aimed at curbing inflation, such as adjustments in interest rates or subsidies for essential goods, could also play a role,” he said.
On why the inflation drop has not been reflected in market prices, he said, “As for the inflation figures not aligning with the reality of elevated prices for goods, this discrepancy could stem from various reasons.“
The CPI may not fully capture specific categories of goods that are experiencing sharp price increases.
Additionally, inflation measurements are often averages and may not reflect localised price changes or the unique purchasing patterns of different consumers.
“Factors such as producer price increases, distribution costs, and market dynamics can also lead to a situation where prices remain high despite a reported decline in inflation rates”.
Why inflation rate decline doesn’t reflect on the price drop — Idakolo
Idakolo said Nigeria’s inflation figures do not reflect the general price of goods because of the strength of the naira- exchange rates and interest have remained high.
“The inflation figures are not generally reflecting on the price of goods because certain fundamentals of the economy, like the strength of the Naira, exchange rate, and interest rates, remain high, which have made it difficult for the impact of lower inflation to be felt by the people.
However, if the government continues to drive down prices due to targeted policies, it would only be a matter of time before people start feeling the impact of reduced inflation on the economy,”.
Business
CPPE Tasks Govt to Fix Cost of Living Crisis Amid GDP Growth
Reacting on Nigeria’s third quarter 2025 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 3.98 percent , CPPE said that it’s laudable, but called for policy interventions to fix the cost of living crisis.
The Center for the Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE) tasks the government to ensure that GDP Growth and macroeconomic stability translate into real improvements in citizens’ welfare.
Reacting on Nigeria’s third quarter 2025 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 3.98 percent , CPPE said that it’s laudable, but called for policy interventions to fix the cost of living crisis.
Dr Muda Yusuf, CEO of the CPPE, notes that despite the improvment in the GDP, the cost-of-living crisis remains a concern .
He said: ” While disinflation is underway and prices of some food items and manufactured products are easing, the social outcomes of economic reforms continue to weigh on households.
” It is therefore imperative for policymaking to prioritise targeted interventions to address the uneasiness around the cost of living and ensure that GDP Growth and macroeconomic stability translate into real improvements in citizens’ welfare—particularly for vulnerable groups.”
To consolidate the gains recorded in Q3 and unlock stronger, more inclusive growth, Dr Yusuf, said that the following policy interventions are critical:
Reduce Structural Bottlenecks
Address energy supply constraints, reduce logistics costs, improve port efficiency, and accelerate transport infrastructure development.
Mitigate the Cost-of-Living Crisis
Implement targeted social interventions and remove structural impediments that elevate consumer prices.
All tiers of government [local, state and federal] must sustain targeted interventions in agriculture, pharmaceuticals, transportation and energy to fix the cost of living crisis.
Business
Dangote Targets Nigeria Festive Season Monthly Supply of 1.5 billion litres of PMS
This represents 50 million litres per day. We are formally notifying the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) of this commitment.
Dangote Petroleum Refinery says that it has concluded arrangements to supply over 50 million litres of petrol per day into the Nigerian market this festive season (December to January).
The company said that the decision was taken to ensure that there is no shortage of the product during the festive season.
This translates to 1.5 billion litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) for the month of December.
The same amount of product will also be supplied in January 2026, it was added.
President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, announced the plans.
Dangote said: “In line with our commitment to national well-being, and consistent with our track record of ensuring a holiday season free of fuel scarcity, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery will supply 1.5 billion litres of PMS to the Nigerian market this month.
This represents 50 million litres per day. We are formally notifying the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) of this commitment.
We will supply another 1.5 billion litres in January and increase to 1.75 billion litres in February, which translates to over 60 million litres per day.”
Speaking during a visit by the South-South Development Commission (SSDC) to the refinery and the Dangote Fertiliser complex, he stated that the facility currently has adequate stock and is producing between 40 and 45 million litres of PMS daily.
He added that the daily supply of 50 million litres should dispel long-standing claims that domestic refineries lack the capacity to meet national demand.
Business
Dangote Partners Honeywell International to Boost Refinery Capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day
Dangote Refinery, Africa’s largest single-train petroleum refinery, has signed a landmark contract with U.S. industrial giant Honeywell International to execute a significant capacity upgrade that will boost the facility’s crude processing capability from the current 650,000 barrels per day to an ambitious 1.4 million barrels per day.
The multi-billion-dollar project, described by sources close to the deal as one of the largest refinery expansion initiatives globally in recent years, will involve the installation of advanced process units, automation systems, and energy-efficiency technologies supplied and integrated by Honeywell UOP and Honeywell Process Solutions.
Aliko Dangote, President and CEO of Dangote Industries Limited, confirmed the partnership, stating: “This strategic collaboration with Honeywell will position the Dangote Refinery as one of the top five largest refineries in the world by capacity.
The upgrade will not only enhance our ability to meet Nigeria’s complete refined products demand but also establish the refinery as a major export hub for gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemicals across Africa and beyond.
”The expansion is expected to be implemented in phases, with key units including additional crude distillation, hydrocracking, and catalytic reforming modules.
Honeywell’s proprietary technologies are anticipated to improve yield of high-value products while reducing energy consumption and emissions.Upon completion, the 1.4 million bpd Dangote Refinery will surpass the current global top-tier facilities such as Reliance Industries’ Jamnagar Refinery (1.24 million bpd) and Paraguay’s planned 1.2 million bpd project, cementing its status as the world’s largest single-train refinery.
The project is expected to create thousands of direct and indirect jobs during the construction and commissioning phases and further reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imported refined petroleum products.
A spokesperson for Honeywell confirmed the award, saying the company was “honored to partner with Dangote on this transformative project that will reshape the African downstream landscape.
”Detailed timelines and the exact value of the contract were not disclosed, but industry analysts estimate the expansion could exceed $5–7 billion in total investment.
The statement said: Dangote Group is pleased to announce that it has entered into a strategic partnership with Honeywell International Inc to support the next phase of expansion of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.
This collaboration will provide advanced technology and services that will enable the refinery to increase its processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day by 2028, marking a major milestone in our long-term vision to build the world’s largest petroleum refining complex.
Through this agreement, Honeywell will supply specialised catalysts, equipment, and process technologies that will allow the refinery to process a broader slate of crude grades efficiently and to further enhance product quality and operational reliability.
Honeywell, a global Fortune 100 industrial and technology company, offers a wide portfolio of solutions across aviation, automotive, industrial automation, and advanced materials.
Honeywell’s division UOP has been a technology partner to Dangote since 2017, providing proprietary refining systems, catalyst regeneration equipment, high performance column trays, and heat exchanger technologies that support our best-in-class operations.
Dangote Group is also advancing its petrochemical footprint. As part of the wider collaboration, we are scaling our polypropylene capacity to 2.4 million metric tons annually using Honeywell’s Oleflex technology.
Polypropylene is a key industrial material widely used across packaging, manufacturing, and automotive applications.In addition to refining expansion, Dangote Group is progressing with the next phase of its fertiliser growth plan in Nigeria. We will increase our urea production capacity from 3 million metric tons to 9 million metric tons annually.
The existing plant consists of two trains of 1.5 million metric tons each. The expansion will add four additional trains to meet growing demand for high-quality fertiliser across Africa and global markets.
Dangote Group remains fully committed to delivering world-class industrial capacity, strengthening Nigeria’s energy security, and driving sustainable economic growth through long-term investment, innovation, and strategic global partnerships.
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