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Hardship: Nigeria’s inflation drops signal economic recovery – CPPE, Economists

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Nigerian economists and the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise have explained that the two consecutive drops in Nigeria’s inflation rate signal that the country’s economy is recovering from hardship

The Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Muda Yusuf, the CEO of SD & D Capital Management, Gbolade Idakolo, and a Don at Lead City University in Ibadan, Prof. Godwin Oyedokun, disclosed this on Monday.

They spoke in reaction to Nigeria’s February 2025 inflation drop.

On Monday, Nigeria’s inflation lowered for the second time to 23.18 percent in February 2025 from 24.48 percent recorded in the previous month, according to the National Bureau of Statistics’ latest Consumer Price Index.

The data showed that food inflation also declined in February to 23.51 percent from 26.08 percent in January.

Nigeria’s inflation fell massively to 24.48 percent in January after CPI rebasing.

However, while the data from NBS showed the inflation rate is lowering, the cost of living in Nigeria has remained elevated.

Nigeria’s deceleration in inflation shows macro stability — CPPE

The deceleration in the inflation rate can be attributed to moderation in macro stability, according to CPPE.

Yusuf stressed that the drop in exchange rate volatility and drop in premium motor spirit prices are contributing factors to the decline in Nigeria’s inflation rate.

He, however, emphasised that Nigeria’s inflation remains high, noting that the government needs to come up with policies to bring down the prices of basic items, such as staple foods and pharmaceuticals.

“The further deceleration in inflation in February can be attributed to two factors. First is the base effect.

When you relate the 2025 figure to 2024, it is expected to see further narrowing because the inflation rate is mainly year on year.

This trend is likely to continue for the larger part of 2025. The second part is due to moderation in macro stability. We are beginning to drop in the volatility in the exchange rate in the last few months.

“This is a key factor because the exchange rate is a major driver of inflation. Also, slight reduction in energy prices such as PMS.“

However, the inflation rate of 23.18 percent is still high. This means that there is a lot of work to be done to ease inflationary pressures on citizens.

The government should take some urgent steps to bring down the price of basic products. Foods, pharmaceutical products, cooking gas, and staple foods (bread, noodles, rice)- should be top on the agenda of government.

“Another good news is that there is an increase in food production on account of improved security,”.

Pressures driving higher prices are easing — Prof Oyedokun

Oyedotun said the latest inflation drop suggests that the factor driving higher prices may be stabilising, which could provide relief to consumers and businesses.

According to him, the second consecutive drop in headline and food inflation, with figures at 23.18% and 23.51%, respectively, could be viewed as a positive indicator of an easing inflationary trend.

He said this suggests that the pressure driving prices higher may be stabilising, which could provide some relief to consumers and businesses.

He noted further that improved supply chain conditions, seasonal factors that affect food production and prices, government interventions, and monetary policies are factors contributing to the inflation rate decline.

Regarding the February inflation drop outside the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rebasing, several factors could contribute.

“These might include improved supply chain conditions, seasonal factors that affect food production and prices, or government interventions that stabilise markets.“

Additionally, any recent policy measures aimed at curbing inflation, such as adjustments in interest rates or subsidies for essential goods, could also play a role,” he said.

On why the inflation drop has not been reflected in market prices, he said, “As for the inflation figures not aligning with the reality of elevated prices for goods, this discrepancy could stem from various reasons.“

The CPI may not fully capture specific categories of goods that are experiencing sharp price increases.

Additionally, inflation measurements are often averages and may not reflect localised price changes or the unique purchasing patterns of different consumers.

“Factors such as producer price increases, distribution costs, and market dynamics can also lead to a situation where prices remain high despite a reported decline in inflation rates”.

Why inflation rate decline doesn’t reflect on the price drop — Idakolo

Idakolo said Nigeria’s inflation figures do not reflect the general price of goods because of the strength of the naira- exchange rates and interest have remained high.

“The inflation figures are not generally reflecting on the price of goods because certain fundamentals of the economy, like the strength of the Naira, exchange rate, and interest rates, remain high, which have made it difficult for the impact of lower inflation to be felt by the people.

However, if the government continues to drive down prices due to targeted policies, it would only be a matter of time before people start feeling the impact of reduced inflation on the economy,”.

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Dangote proposes to build refineries in East Africa if …

Dangote made the pledge at the infrastructure summit – the Africa We Build Summit 2026 – on Thursday in Nairobi, Kenya.

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Africa’s leading industrialist and President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, has said the refinery in Lagos can be replicated in East Africa with the right support.

Dangote made the pledge at the infrastructure summit – the Africa We Build Summit 2026 – on Thursday in Nairobi, Kenya.

The proposed refinery Dangote was referring to would be built in Tanga, Tanzania. A pipeline would be linked to Kenya’s Mombasa port to serve the entire East African region. Kenya, Uganda, and neighbouring eastern African countries would benefit

Dangote said: “I can give commitment to the two presidents that were here; if they will support the refinery, we’ll build the identical one that we have in Nigeria – 650,000 barrels per day.”

The presidents he was referring to are Kenya’s President William Ruto and Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni.

The proposed refinery Dangote was referring to would be built in Tanga, Tanzania. A pipeline would be linked to Kenya’s Mombasa port to serve the entire East African region. Kenya, Uganda, and neighbouring eastern African countries would benefit.

On the readiness, Dangote said: “There is nothing that can stop it. We have done the one in Nigeria and that’s why we are taking the bold move which was started already. Piling has started, while building to a scale – 1.4 million barrels per day will give us the largest refinery – world number two.

“It is 10% of entire United States of America’s refining capacity.
And this is coming with lot of, you know, petrochemicals. If we look at it today in Nigeria, if not because we have polypropylene, all the plants, all businesses would collapse.

“Cement is packed in polypropylene, flour, rice, grains, everything. So nothing… and the cost now has shot up between just 45 days – from $900 to 3$3,000. There is no way you can afford that. You can’t afford it.

“So, that is why we must learn how to build self-sufficiency. Right now, we have big financial institutions that are very hungry for big ticket items. And we’re also big in terms of our own vision.

“So, it is possible. Africans can do it. Let us not be scared. No. Let us not come and be convinced, as I know somebody needs to carry our own material to go and produce and bring the items here.

“I must really thank the President of Uganda for taking this bold move: stopping the export.

They will be forced. They would come (and) produce. Why do you have to take your material (away), then you’ll bring it back? We have educated people. We have big financial institutions. It’s not like before. Things have changed.”

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CBN increases ATM card issuance fee by 50% to N1,500

CBN disclosed this in its Exposure draft of the Guide to Charges by Banks and Other Financial Institutions, OFIs, in Nigeria 2026.

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The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, has increased the fee for issuance and replacement of Automated Terminal Machine (ATM) debit/ credit cards by 50 percent to N1,500 from N1,000.

The apex bank also scrapped the N50 monthly charges for Naira Debit/ Credit Card maintenance which usually includes 7.5 percent Value Added Tax but said customers with Foreign Currency denominated debit/credit cards will continue to pay maintenance fee of $10 per annum.

CBN disclosed this in its Exposure draft of the Guide to Charges by Banks and Other Financial Institutions, OFIs, in Nigeria 2026.

The apex bank also reiterated among other things that the cost of ATM transactions on Merchants PoS will be borne by the Merchant and not the customers.

CBN said: “ATM card Issuance/Replacement charges for regular/basic debit/credit card is N1, 500. “Charges for Premium Debit/Credit/Hybrid Card are negotiable Virtual cards at no charge. “Merchant Service Charge (MSC) (charge to be borne by the merchant).

There shall be no charge to the cardholder paying the merchant.

“All card transactions done by cardholders at a merchant location shall be free of charge to the cardholder, i.e. the MSC shall be borne by the merchant.

The MSC payable by a merchant (0.5 percent) subject to a cap of N10,000 shall be the same irrespective of the technology or payment methods.”

In a circular to Banks, Other Financial Institutions and the Public signed by the Director Financial Policy and Regulation Department, CBN, Dr. Rita Sike, CBN said that the review of the guide to charges by banks and OFIs and non bank Financial Institutions was to fulfill its mandate to promote a safe and sound financial system in Nigeria accelerate the adoption of innovative financial services, financial inclusion and micropayments/transaction.

(Vanguard)

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FG Launches Energise Commercialisation Now (ECoN) To Boost Industrial Productivity

The Minister of Innovation, Science and Technology, Dr. Kingsley Tochukwu-Udeh, described ECoN as a national framework designed to bridge the gap between research and the marketplace.

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• Kano ECoN launch by First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu, Thursday 23,2026.

The federal government has launched the Energise Commercialisation Now (ECoN) an initiative of the Ministry of Innovation, Science and Technology.

Nigeria’s First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu, launched the programme in Kano, yesterday, and calling for a shift from ideas to industrial productivity.

The First Lady said that Nigeria must move beyond generating ideas to building industries that create jobs and drive economic growth.

She noted that although innovative concepts continue to emerge from universities, technology hubs and young entrepreneurs, many do not translate into real-world solutions.

“This initiative represents a decisive effort to close that gap by creating an environment where ideas can grow, attract support and scale into real solutions,” she said.

The Minister of Innovation, Science and Technology, Dr. Kingsley Tochukwu-Udeh, described ECoN as a national framework designed to bridge the gap between research and the marketplace.

He said that the initiative aims to transform research outputs into revenue-generating ventures while promoting inclusive economic growth.

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