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Nigeria’s inflation rises to 34.80% in December as CPPE calls for monetary policy adjustments

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Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 34.80 percent in December 2024 from 34.60 percent in November.

This is according to the latest Consumer Price Index and inflation data released on Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics, NBS.

While the country’s inflation continues to rise, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, CPPE, has identified tips for its moderation.

The December inflation data showed that the country’s inflation further rose marginally by 0.20 percent due to heightened demand for goods and services during the festive season.

On a year-on-year basis, the December inflation rate marked a significant increase of 5.87 percentage points compared to 28.92 percent in December 2023.

The untamed rise in the Nigeria’s inflation highlights the upward trajectory in consumer prices, driven by economic challenges such as currency depreciation, high energy costs and persistent supply chain disruptions.

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 5.87 percent higher than the rate recorded in December 2023 (28.92 percent). This shows that the headline inflation rate (on a year-on-year basis) increased in December 2024 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2023),” NBS stated.

Meanwhile, NBS said Nigeria’s food inflation dropped marginally to 39.83 percent in December 2024 from 39.93 percent in November on a year-on-year basis.CPPE reacts

Reacting, the Chief Executive Officer at the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Muda Yusuf, said the inflationary pressures continue to be a troubling feature of the Nigerian economy as reflected in December’s inflation rate.

“Though the increase in the December headline inflation was marginal at 0.2% compared with November inflation figures.

”However, Yusuf is optimistic that Nigeria’s inflation would have a positive outlook in 2025 due to moderation in exchange rate volatility and improvement in foreign reserves.

“Meanwhile, the inflation outlook for 2025 promises to be positive for the following reasons: Sustained moderation in exchange rate volatility and improvements in foreign reserves.

“Prospects of easing geopolitical tensions with the inception of the Trump presidency in a few days time.

“And a strong base effect, given the high inflationary pressures experienced in 2024,” he stated.

The economic think tank group, CPPE, also decried the current fixation of the National Assembly on revenue, especially the arbitrary revenue targets for ministries, departments, and agencies.

“Excessive pressure on MDAs to boost revenue and increase IGR has profound inflationary implications.

“The reality is that such pressures are invariably transmitted to investors in the form of higher fees, levies, penalties, import duties, regulatory charges, etc. These outcomes are in conflict with government aspirations to boost investment, curb inflation, and create jobs.

“Revenue targets should be based on empirical studies, absorptive capacity of the economy, and due consideration of the wider economic implications.

“Obsession with revenue would hurt investments, worsen inflationary pressures, aggravate poverty, and impede economic growth.

There should be a careful balancing act between revenue growth aspirations, desire to boost investment, and commitment to moderate inflation,” CPPE stated.

How Nigeria’s inflation rate can drop – CPPE, CPPE highlighted that Nigeria’s inflation can moderate on pause of monetary tightening policy by the Central Bank of Nigeria, reducing fiscal risks.

“To ensure a further moderation in inflationary pressures, CPPE recommends as follows: “Pause on monetary policy tightening and interest rate hikes by the CBN to reduce business operating costs.

“Reduction in fiscal risks to macroeconomic stability through a reduction in fiscal deficit and deceleration in growth of public debt,” the CPPE stated.

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Senate Constitutes Abdullahi Yahaya Tax Harmonisation Committee

Altogether, the four Tax Reform bills were Executive Bills transmitted by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to the two chambers of the National Assembly in November last year.

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The Senate on Thursday constituted a committee saddled with the responsibility of harmonizing its amendments to the tax reform bills with the House of Representatives version for final transmission to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Senate President, Godswill Akpabio, announced this during plenary after the passage of the bills.

Akpabio named senator Abdullahi Yahaya (Kebbi North) as chairman of the committee.

The members of the committee as announced by the Senate President are Senate Minority Leader, Abba Moro (PDP, Benue South), Chief Whip, Tahir Mongumo (APC, Borno North), Enyinnaya Abaribe (Abia South), Abdulaziz Yari (Zamfara), and Solomon Adeola (APC, Ogun West).

Earlier, the remaining two Tax Reform Bills — the Nigeria Tax Bill 2025 and the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Bill, 2025.

This was in addition to passage of the Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Bill, 2025, and the Nigerian Tax Administration Bill, 2025.

Altogether, the four Tax Reform bills were Executive Bills transmitted by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to the two chambers of the National Assembly in November last year.

The passage of the bills was sequel to the consideration and adoption of a report of the Senate Committee on Finance presented by its Chairman, Senator Sani Musa (APC, Niger East).

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Meta’s Exit to Throw 20 million Nigerian MSMEs Out of Business

The Global System for Mobile Communications Association reported that Nigerian MSMEs rely heavily on Facebook and Instagram for sales, customer engagement, and brand visibility.

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A Digital Marketing Consultant at EssenceMediacom, Olayinka Shobola, believes that a shutdown of Facebook and Instagram operations in Nigeria would deal a serious blow to Nigeria’s digital economy, especially millions of micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs).

The Global System for Mobile Communications Association reported that Nigerian MSMEs rely heavily on Facebook and Instagram for sales, customer engagement, and brand visibility.

“Meta Platforms’ threat to halt operations in Nigeria could devastate 56 percent of the nation’s 39.6 players in the information technology space,” Shobola said, stressing that such an exit would erode tax revenues and force businesses to seek costly alternatives, as a $290 million fine dispute with regulators intensifies.

“Businesses that built their brands on Meta’s platforms would face immediate challenges.

The platforms have become essential tools for business survival and growth in Africa’s largest economy, where SMEs contribute nearly 50 per cent to GDP and represent more than 96 per cent of registered businesses.

“Most likely affected businesses will pivot to platforms like X or TikTok for short-term survival, but long-term, they’ll need to invest in standalone e-commerce or offline channels,” Shobola said.

“Jobs will take a hit; marketers, influencers, and agencies will lose contracts overnight.”

Statista forecasts a $148.2m social media ad market in 2025, with Facebook commanding up to $120m, driven by 38 million ad-reachable users.“My shop practically lives on these platforms, especially Instagram,” Lagos-based baker Fatima Tunde said. “If it’s gone, I’m out of business.”

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UAE Invests in $25bn African- Atlantic Gas Pipeline

The gas pipeline will connect Nigeria’s gas network with Morocco’s southern city of Dakhla and then go northward toward Europe.

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Gas pipelines

Morocco’s Minister of Energy Transition and Sustainable Development, Leila Benali, said that the UAE is now one of the supporters of the Nigeria to Morocco gas pipeline project, which is estimated to cost $25 billion.

“The project now called the “African-Atlantic Gas Pipeline”, has won the support of IDB, OPEC Fund, EIB and the UAE,” Benali told Nigerian lawmakers, this week.

Benali also said that Morocco has finished all the feasibility and engineering studies needed for the pipeline.

Moroccan industry experts said that the project has already passed the feasibility study and Front End Engineering Design stages.

The gas pipeline will connect Nigeria’s gas network with Morocco’s southern city of Dakhla and then go northward toward Europe.

The line will pass through 15 African countries, boosting trade, development, and access to electricity in the region.

In Phase One, it will link Morocco to gas fields near Senegal and Mauritania, and connect Ghana to the Ivory Coast.

Phase Two will link Nigeria to Ghana, while Phase Three will connect the Ivory Coast to Senegal.

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