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Nigeria’s economy grows 3.7% in H1- Stanbic IBTC report

Muyiwa Oni, Head of Equity Research, West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, said that the estimated 3.7 percent year-on-year GDP growth aligns with expectations for annual growth of 3.5 percent.

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• President Bola Tinubu

The Nigerian economy grew by 3.7 percent in the first half of 2025, driven by improved business conditions and increased oil production.

This was revealed in the Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report compiled by S&P Global and released on Tuesday.

Earlier, the World Bank estimated that Nigeria’s economy would grow by 3.6 percent in 2025, higher than the 3.4 percent recorded in 2024, despite shifts in global trade dynamics.

This projection is lower than the Central Bank of Nigeria’s estimate of 4.17 percent and the ambitious 5.5 percent GDP growth forecasted by the Nigerian Economic Summit Group in January.

Muyiwa Oni, Head of Equity Research, West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, said that the estimated 3.7 percent year-on-year GDP growth aligns with expectations for annual growth of 3.5 percent.

He said, “Insights from the monthly PMIs and crude oil production data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission suggest an economy that grew by an estimated 3.7 per cent y/y in H1 2025, supported by higher crude oil production and improved growth in manufacturing and services, while agriculture continues to lag its long-term average growth rate of 3.6 per cent.”

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Obi Sees Something Good in Tinubu’s “Naira Float Policy ‘

The policy was introduced by the Tinubu administration in June 2023 as part of wider foreign exchange reforms.

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The presidential candidate of the National Democratic Congress (NDC) for the 2027 election, Peter Obi, has said he would retain President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s naira float policy if elected president.

The policy was introduced by the Tinubu administration in June 2023 as part of wider foreign exchange reforms.

The Central Bank of Nigeria removed restrictions at the Investors and Exporters foreign exchange window, allowing the naira to trade more freely against the dollar and other major currencies

Obi made the disclosure in a public statement on air, emphasising that his administration would seek to strengthen the currency by prioritising productivity and increasing economic output rather than reversing the floating exchange-rate framework.

Asked to identify one policy of the Tinubu administration he would keep if elected, Obi said, “There’s one – the floating of the Naira. I’m not going to defend it. But I’m going to put productivity to make it more valuable to the people.”

His position means he would maintain the floating exchange-rate system while seeking to change the economic conditions that determine the strength and value of the naira.

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Dangote Refinery Buys 16m Barrels Of Nigerian Crude For October

The October supply is equivalent to about 520,000 barrels per day, representing most of the refinery’s 700,000 barrels-per-day processing capacity.

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Dangote Refinery has bought at least 16 million barrels of Nigerian crude oil for delivery in October.

Reuters reported that the 16 million barrels comprise monthly crude allocations from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company and additional volumes purchased through a tender.

The October supply is equivalent to about 520,000 barrels per day, representing most of the refinery’s 700,000 barrels-per-day processing capacity.

The increased crude purchases highlight the refinery’s rising demand for feedstock as it expands operations and moves closer to operating at a larger share of its installed capacity.

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Brent crude slid to around $106 per barrel

Top US officials reportedly warned President Donald Trump that the war could continue through the remainder of his term, which ends in January 2029.

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Brent crude slid to around $106 per barrel on Friday in a likely technical correction, but was still set to end the week sharply higher as the escalating conflict between the US and Iran fueled concerns over prolonged disruptions to global energy supplies.

Top US officials reportedly warned President Donald Trump that the war could continue through the remainder of his term, which ends in January 2029.

Meanwhile, Iranian leaders are reportedly determined to continue fighting despite mounting economic costs, viewing the conflict as an existential threat.

They also claim that Tehran has managed to rebuild its missile capabilities and could intensify attacks on US and Gulf assets if Washington escalates its own strikes.

Fighting has intensified over the past two weeks, with the US targeting Iranian oil tankers while Iran launched missiles at US warships and tankers in the Persian Gulf, as well as American assets in neighboring countries.

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